Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 26.16
| VAIPX Fund | USD 22.64 0.01 0.04% |
Vanguard |
Vanguard Inflation-protec Target Price Odds to finish below 26.16
The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 26.16 after 90 days |
| 22.64 | 90 days | 26.16 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Inflation-protec to stay under $ 26.16 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Inflation-protec price to stay between its current price of $ 22.64 and $ 26.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Inflation-protec has a beta of 0.15. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Inflation-protec average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Vanguard Inflation-protec Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Inflation-protec
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Inflation-protec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Inflation-protec's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Inflation-protec Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Inflation-protec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Inflation-protec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Inflation-protec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
Vanguard Inflation-protec Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Inflation-protec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Inflation-protec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vanguard Inflation-protec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is VAIPX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Movies Canada | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Vanguard Inflation-protec keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments. |
Vanguard Inflation-protec Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Inflation-protec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Inflation-protec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Inflation-protec Technical Analysis
Vanguard Inflation-protec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Inflation-protec Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Inflation-protec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Inflation-protec's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Inflation-protec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Inflation-protec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Inflation-protec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Inflation-protec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vanguard Inflation-protec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is VAIPX a Strong Bond Fund Right Now - Yahoo Movies Canada | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Vanguard Inflation-protec keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments. |
Check out Vanguard Inflation-protec Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Inflation-protec Correlation, Vanguard Inflation-protec Hype Analysis, Vanguard Inflation-protec Volatility, Vanguard Inflation-protec History as well as Vanguard Inflation-protec Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.