CTI IND (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.05

VCT Stock  EUR 1.47  0.01  0.68%   
CTI IND's future price is the expected price of CTI IND instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CTI IND performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CTI IND Backtesting, CTI IND Valuation, CTI IND Correlation, CTI IND Hype Analysis, CTI IND Volatility, CTI IND History as well as CTI IND Performance.
  
Please specify CTI IND's target price for which you would like CTI IND odds to be computed.

CTI IND Target Price Odds to finish below 3.05

The tendency of CTI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 3.05  after 90 days
 1.47 90 days 3.05 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CTI IND to stay under € 3.05  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This CTI IND probability density function shows the probability of CTI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CTI IND price to stay between its current price of € 1.47  and € 3.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CTI IND has a beta of 0.79. This entails as returns on the market go up, CTI IND average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CTI IND will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CTI IND has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   CTI IND Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CTI IND

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTI IND. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CTI IND's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.476.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.236.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CTI IND. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CTI IND's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CTI IND's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CTI IND.

CTI IND Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CTI IND is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CTI IND's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CTI IND, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CTI IND within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

CTI IND Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CTI IND for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CTI IND can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CTI IND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CTI IND may become a speculative penny stock
CTI IND has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CTI IND has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 24.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
CTI IND generates negative cash flow from operations

CTI IND Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CTI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CTI IND's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CTI IND's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.9 M
Short Long Term Debt6.9 M

CTI IND Technical Analysis

CTI IND's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CTI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CTI IND. In general, you should focus on analyzing CTI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CTI IND Predictive Forecast Models

CTI IND's time-series forecasting models is one of many CTI IND's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CTI IND's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CTI IND

Checking the ongoing alerts about CTI IND for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CTI IND help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CTI IND generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CTI IND may become a speculative penny stock
CTI IND has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CTI IND has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 24.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
CTI IND generates negative cash flow from operations
Check out CTI IND Backtesting, CTI IND Valuation, CTI IND Correlation, CTI IND Hype Analysis, CTI IND Volatility, CTI IND History as well as CTI IND Performance.
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Complementary Tools for CTI Stock analysis

When running CTI IND's price analysis, check to measure CTI IND's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CTI IND is operating at the current time. Most of CTI IND's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CTI IND's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CTI IND's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CTI IND to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between CTI IND's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CTI IND is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CTI IND's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.