Visi Media (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 151.0
| VIVA Stock | IDR 13.00 1.00 7.14% |
Visi |
Visi Media Target Price Odds to finish over 151.0
The tendency of Visi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 151.00 or more in 90 days |
| 13.00 | 90 days | 151.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Visi Media to move over 151.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Visi Media Asia probability density function shows the probability of Visi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Visi Media Asia price to stay between its current price of 13.00 and 151.00 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Visi Media will likely underperform. Additionally Visi Media Asia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Visi Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Visi Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visi Media Asia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visi Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Visi Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Visi Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Visi Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Visi Media Asia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Visi Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.96 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.55 |
Visi Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Visi Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Visi Media Asia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Visi Media Asia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Visi Media Asia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.81 T. Net Loss for the year was (890.13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 T. | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Visi Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Visi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Visi Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Visi Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.8 B |
Visi Media Technical Analysis
Visi Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Visi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Visi Media Asia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Visi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Visi Media Predictive Forecast Models
Visi Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Visi Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Visi Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Visi Media Asia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Visi Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Visi Media Asia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Visi Media Asia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Visi Media Asia has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.81 T. Net Loss for the year was (890.13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 T. | |
| About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Visi Media Backtesting, Visi Media Valuation, Visi Media Correlation, Visi Media Hype Analysis, Visi Media Volatility, Visi Media History as well as Visi Media Performance. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Visi Stock analysis
When running Visi Media's price analysis, check to measure Visi Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Visi Media is operating at the current time. Most of Visi Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Visi Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Visi Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Visi Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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