Volkswagen Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 179.75
| VLKAF Stock | USD 152.20 2.36 1.58% |
Volkswagen |
Volkswagen Target Price Odds to finish over 179.75
The tendency of Volkswagen Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 179.75 or more in 90 days |
| 152.20 | 90 days | 179.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Volkswagen to move over $ 179.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Volkswagen AG probability density function shows the probability of Volkswagen Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Volkswagen AG price to stay between its current price of $ 152.20 and $ 179.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Volkswagen has a beta of 0.56. This entails as returns on the market go up, Volkswagen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Volkswagen AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Volkswagen AG has an alpha of 0.2349, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Volkswagen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Volkswagen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volkswagen AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volkswagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Volkswagen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Volkswagen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Volkswagen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Volkswagen AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Volkswagen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Volkswagen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Volkswagen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Volkswagen AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Volkswagen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Volkswagen Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Volkswagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Volkswagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 501.3 M |
Volkswagen Technical Analysis
Volkswagen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Volkswagen Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Volkswagen AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Volkswagen Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Volkswagen Predictive Forecast Models
Volkswagen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Volkswagen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Volkswagen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Volkswagen AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Volkswagen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Volkswagen AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Volkswagen Backtesting, Volkswagen Valuation, Volkswagen Correlation, Volkswagen Hype Analysis, Volkswagen Volatility, Volkswagen History as well as Volkswagen Performance. Note that the Volkswagen AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Volkswagen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Volkswagen Pink Sheet analysis
When running Volkswagen's price analysis, check to measure Volkswagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volkswagen is operating at the current time. Most of Volkswagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volkswagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volkswagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volkswagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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