Koninklijke Vopak Nv Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 51.16

VOPKY Stock  USD 38.00  0.77  2.07%   
Koninklijke Vopak's future price is the expected price of Koninklijke Vopak instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Koninklijke Vopak NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Koninklijke Vopak Backtesting, Koninklijke Vopak Valuation, Koninklijke Vopak Correlation, Koninklijke Vopak Hype Analysis, Koninklijke Vopak Volatility, Koninklijke Vopak History as well as Koninklijke Vopak Performance.
  
Please specify Koninklijke Vopak's target price for which you would like Koninklijke Vopak odds to be computed.

Koninklijke Vopak Target Price Odds to finish over 51.16

The tendency of Koninklijke Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 51.16  or more in 90 days
 38.00 90 days 51.16 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke Vopak to move over $ 51.16  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Koninklijke Vopak NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koninklijke Vopak price to stay between its current price of $ 38.00  and $ 51.16  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Koninklijke Vopak has a beta of 0.28. This entails as returns on the market go up, Koninklijke Vopak average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koninklijke Vopak NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Koninklijke Vopak NV has an alpha of 0.1745, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Koninklijke Vopak Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Vopak

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Vopak. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koninklijke Vopak's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.2238.0039.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6336.4138.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.6738.4540.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.0237.7438.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke Vopak. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke Vopak's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke Vopak's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Koninklijke Vopak.

Koninklijke Vopak Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke Vopak is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke Vopak's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke Vopak NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke Vopak within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Koninklijke Vopak Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke Vopak for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke Vopak can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.09, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Koninklijke Vopak has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Vopak until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Vopak's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Vopak sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Vopak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Koninklijke Vopak Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koninklijke Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koninklijke Vopak's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koninklijke Vopak's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding126.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.4 M

Koninklijke Vopak Technical Analysis

Koninklijke Vopak's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke Vopak NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Koninklijke Vopak Predictive Forecast Models

Koninklijke Vopak's time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke Vopak's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koninklijke Vopak's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Koninklijke Vopak

Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke Vopak for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke Vopak help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 1.82 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.09, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Koninklijke Vopak has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Vopak until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Vopak's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Vopak sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Vopak's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

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When running Koninklijke Vopak's price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke Vopak's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke Vopak is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke Vopak's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke Vopak's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke Vopak's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke Vopak to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke Vopak's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Koninklijke Vopak is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke Vopak's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.