Voxx International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.25

VOXX Stock  USD 8.16  0.10  1.21%   
VOXX International's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on VOXX International. Implied volatility approximates the future value of VOXX International based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in VOXX International over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $7.5 is a CALL option contract on VOXX International's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.75, and an ask price of $1.25. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 67.09. View All VOXX options

Closest to current price VOXX long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

VOXX International's future price is the expected price of VOXX International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VOXX International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VOXX International Backtesting, VOXX International Valuation, VOXX International Correlation, VOXX International Hype Analysis, VOXX International Volatility, VOXX International History as well as VOXX International Performance.
For more information on how to buy VOXX Stock please use our How to Invest in VOXX International guide.
  
At this time, VOXX International's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.30 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (30.52). Please specify VOXX International's target price for which you would like VOXX International odds to be computed.

VOXX International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.25

The tendency of VOXX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days
 8.16 90 days 0.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VOXX International to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VOXX International probability density function shows the probability of VOXX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VOXX International price to stay between $ 0.25  and its current price of $8.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.38 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.41 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, VOXX International will likely underperform. Additionally VOXX International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   VOXX International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VOXX International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VOXX International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VOXX International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.008.1212.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.637.7511.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.478.5912.70
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.087.788.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VOXX International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VOXX International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VOXX International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VOXX International.

VOXX International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VOXX International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VOXX International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VOXX International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VOXX International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.67
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

VOXX International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VOXX International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VOXX International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VOXX International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VOXX International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 534.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 134.3 M.
VOXX International currently holds about 4.33 M in cash with (38.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Exchange Traded Concepts LLC Has 304000 Holdings in VOXX International Co. - Defense World

VOXX International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VOXX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VOXX International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VOXX International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.1 M

VOXX International Technical Analysis

VOXX International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VOXX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VOXX International. In general, you should focus on analyzing VOXX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VOXX International Predictive Forecast Models

VOXX International's time-series forecasting models is one of many VOXX International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VOXX International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VOXX International

Checking the ongoing alerts about VOXX International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VOXX International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VOXX International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
VOXX International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 534.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 134.3 M.
VOXX International currently holds about 4.33 M in cash with (38.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18.
Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Exchange Traded Concepts LLC Has 304000 Holdings in VOXX International Co. - Defense World
When determining whether VOXX International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VOXX International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Voxx International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Voxx International Stock:

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When running VOXX International's price analysis, check to measure VOXX International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VOXX International is operating at the current time. Most of VOXX International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VOXX International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VOXX International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VOXX International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is VOXX International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VOXX International. If investors know VOXX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VOXX International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
Earnings Share
(1.64)
Revenue Per Share
21.027
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of VOXX International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VOXX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VOXX International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VOXX International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VOXX International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VOXX International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VOXX International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VOXX International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VOXX International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.