Varca Ventures Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0135
| VRCV Stock | USD 0.0004 0.00 0.00% |
Varca |
Varca Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0135
The tendency of Varca Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days |
| 0.0004 | 90 days | 0.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Varca Ventures to stay under $ 0.01 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Varca Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Varca Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Varca Ventures price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0004 and $ 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Varca Ventures has a beta of 0.48. This entails as returns on the market go up, Varca Ventures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Varca Ventures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Varca Ventures has an alpha of 1.4831, implying that it can generate a 1.48 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Varca Ventures Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Varca Ventures
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Varca Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Varca Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Varca Ventures Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Varca Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Varca Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Varca Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Varca Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0001 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Varca Ventures Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Varca Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Varca Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Varca Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Varca Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Varca Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Varca Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Varca Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Varca Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Varca Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Varca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Varca Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Varca Ventures currently holds about 9.1 K in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Varca Ventures Technical Analysis
Varca Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Varca Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Varca Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Varca Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Varca Ventures Predictive Forecast Models
Varca Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Varca Ventures' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Varca Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Varca Ventures
Checking the ongoing alerts about Varca Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Varca Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Varca Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Varca Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Varca Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Varca Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Varca Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Varca Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Varca Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Varca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Varca Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (2.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Varca Ventures currently holds about 9.1 K in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Check out Varca Ventures Backtesting, Varca Ventures Valuation, Varca Ventures Correlation, Varca Ventures Hype Analysis, Varca Ventures Volatility, Varca Ventures History as well as Varca Ventures Performance. Note that the Varca Ventures information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Varca Ventures' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Varca Pink Sheet analysis
When running Varca Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Varca Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Varca Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Varca Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Varca Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Varca Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Varca Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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