Verint Systems Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 43.3

Verint Systems Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 41.7  0.15  0.36%

Verint Systems probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Verint Systems Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Verint Systems time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Verint Systems odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Verint Systems Backtesting, Verint Systems Valuation, Verint Systems Correlation, Verint Systems Hype Analysis, Verint Systems Volatility, Verint Systems History as well as Verint Systems Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Verint Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 43.3

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 41.7 30 days 43.3  about 19.92% about 79.82%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Verint Systems to stay under $ 43.3  after 30 days from now is about 79.82%. Probability of Verint Systems Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 41.7  and $ 43.3  at the end of the 30-day period is about 45.98%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1265 . This entails Verint Systems Inc market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, Verint Systems is expected to follow. Additionally Verint Systems Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
80.0%
Odds to stay under $ 43.3  after 30 days
 Verint Systems Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.22
βBeta against DOW=1.13
σ
Overall volatility
=1.28
 IrInformation ratio =0.1