Verint Systems Probability of Target Price

Verint Systems Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 43.2  0.8  1.89%

Verint Systems probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Verint Systems Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Verint Systems time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Verint Systems odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Verint Systems Backtesting, Verint Systems Valuation, Verint Systems Correlation, Verint Systems Hype Analysis, Verint Systems Volatility, Verint Systems History as well as Verint Systems Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 43.2 30 days 43.3  about 13.49% about 86.22%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Verint Systems to stay under $ 43.3  after 30 days from now is about 86.22%. Probability of Verint Systems Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 43.2  and $ 43.3  at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 2.65%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Verint Systems Inc has beta of -1.2794 . This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Verint Systems Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Verint Systems is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Verint Systems Inc has an alpha of 0.491 implying that it can potentially generate 0.491% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
86.0%
Odds to stay under $ 43.3  after 30 days
 Verint Systems Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.49 
βBeta against DOW=(1.28) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 0.87 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.16