Verint Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.53
| VRNT Stock | USD 29.13 0.13 0.44% |
Closest to current price Verint long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Verint |
Verint Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 47.53
The tendency of Verint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 47.53 or more in 90 days |
| 29.13 | 90 days | 47.53 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verint Systems to move over $ 47.53 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Verint Systems probability density function shows the probability of Verint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verint Systems price to stay between its current price of $ 29.13 and $ 47.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.06 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Verint Systems will likely underperform. Additionally Verint Systems has an alpha of 0.0311, implying that it can generate a 0.0311 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Verint Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verint Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verint Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verint Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verint Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verint Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verint Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verint Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verint Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Verint Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verint Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verint Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Verint Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Verint Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell President Elan Moriah Sells Shares of Verint Systems Inc |
Verint Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verint Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verint Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 243.4 M |
Verint Systems Technical Analysis
Verint Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verint Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verint Systems Predictive Forecast Models
Verint Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Verint Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verint Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verint Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verint Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verint Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Verint Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Verint Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell President Elan Moriah Sells Shares of Verint Systems Inc |
Check out Verint Systems Backtesting, Verint Systems Valuation, Verint Systems Correlation, Verint Systems Hype Analysis, Verint Systems Volatility, Verint Systems History as well as Verint Systems Performance. For more information on how to buy Verint Stock please use our How to Invest in Verint Systems guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Verint Stock analysis
When running Verint Systems' price analysis, check to measure Verint Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verint Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Verint Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verint Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verint Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verint Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verint Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verint Systems. If investors know Verint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verint Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.18 | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share 14.227 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 | Return On Assets 0.0199 |
The market value of Verint Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verint Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verint Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verint Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verint Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verint Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verint Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verint Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.