Verisk Analytics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 84.8
| VRSK Stock | USD 222.10 0.08 0.04% |
Closest to current price Verisk long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Verisk |
Verisk Analytics Target Price Odds to finish below 84.8
The tendency of Verisk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 84.80 or more in 90 days |
| 222.10 | 90 days | 84.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verisk Analytics to drop to $ 84.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Verisk Analytics probability density function shows the probability of Verisk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verisk Analytics price to stay between $ 84.80 and its current price of $222.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verisk Analytics has a beta of 0.68. This entails as returns on the market go up, Verisk Analytics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verisk Analytics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Verisk Analytics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Verisk Analytics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verisk Analytics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verisk Analytics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verisk Analytics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verisk Analytics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verisk Analytics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verisk Analytics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verisk Analytics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verisk Analytics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Verisk Analytics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verisk Analytics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verisk Analytics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Verisk Analytics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 3.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Verisk Analytics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Verisk Analytics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verisk Analytics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verisk Analytics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verisk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verisk Analytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of Verisk Analytics outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 1049 shares by Nicholas Daffan of Verisk Analytics at 80.19 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Verisk Analytics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verisk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verisk Analytics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verisk Analytics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 147.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.7 M |
Verisk Analytics Technical Analysis
Verisk Analytics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verisk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verisk Analytics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verisk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verisk Analytics Predictive Forecast Models
Verisk Analytics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Verisk Analytics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verisk Analytics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verisk Analytics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verisk Analytics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verisk Analytics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Verisk Analytics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 3.1 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.58, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Verisk Analytics has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Verisk Analytics until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Verisk Analytics' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Verisk Analytics sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Verisk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Verisk Analytics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of Verisk Analytics outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 1049 shares by Nicholas Daffan of Verisk Analytics at 80.19 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Verisk Analytics Backtesting, Verisk Analytics Valuation, Verisk Analytics Correlation, Verisk Analytics Hype Analysis, Verisk Analytics Volatility, Verisk Analytics History as well as Verisk Analytics Performance. For more information on how to buy Verisk Stock please use our How to buy in Verisk Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for Verisk Stock analysis
When running Verisk Analytics' price analysis, check to measure Verisk Analytics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verisk Analytics is operating at the current time. Most of Verisk Analytics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verisk Analytics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verisk Analytics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verisk Analytics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verisk Analytics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verisk Analytics. If investors know Verisk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verisk Analytics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.149 | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 5.22 | Revenue Per Share 18.288 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 |
The market value of Verisk Analytics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verisk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verisk Analytics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verisk Analytics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verisk Analytics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verisk Analytics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verisk Analytics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Verisk Analytics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verisk Analytics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.