Victory Special Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.65
| VSVGX Fund | USD 26.84 0.09 0.33% |
Victory |
Victory Special Target Price Odds to finish over 26.65
The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 26.65 in 90 days |
| 26.84 | 90 days | 26.65 | about 75.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Special to stay above $ 26.65 in 90 days from now is about 75.39 (This Victory Special Value probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Special Value price to stay between $ 26.65 and its current price of $26.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This entails Victory Special Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Victory Special is expected to follow. Additionally Victory Special Value has an alpha of 0.0187, implying that it can generate a 0.0187 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Victory Special Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Victory Special
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Special Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Special's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Special Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Special is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Special's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Special Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Special within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Victory Special Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Special for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Special Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps 98.39% of its net assets in stocks |
Victory Special Technical Analysis
Victory Special's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Special Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Special Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Special's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Special's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Special's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Special Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Special for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Special Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps 98.39% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Victory Special Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Victory Special Correlation, Victory Special Hype Analysis, Victory Special Volatility, Victory Special History as well as Victory Special Performance. Note that the Victory Special Value information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Victory Special's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.