Vanguard Total Stock Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 140.74

VTI Etf  USD 259.90  0.17  0.07%   
Vanguard Total's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vanguard Total Stock. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vanguard Total based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vanguard Total Stock over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $260.0 is a CALL option contract on Vanguard Total's common stock with a strick price of 260.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:12 for $2.88 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.85, and an ask price of $3.1. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 10.42. View All Vanguard options

Closest to current price Vanguard long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Vanguard Total's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Total instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Total Stock performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Total Correlation, Vanguard Total Hype Analysis, Vanguard Total Volatility, Vanguard Total History as well as Vanguard Total Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard Total's target price for which you would like Vanguard Total odds to be computed.

Vanguard Total Target Price Odds to finish over 140.74

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 140.74  in 90 days
 259.90 90 days 140.74 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Total to stay above $ 140.74  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Vanguard Total Stock probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Total Stock price to stay between $ 140.74  and its current price of $259.9 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.52 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This entails Vanguard Total Stock market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Total is expected to follow. Additionally Vanguard Total Stock has an alpha of 0.0038, implying that it can generate a 0.003837 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Total Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
259.19259.90260.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
221.50222.21285.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
259.65260.35261.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
248.99254.81260.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Total Stock.

Vanguard Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Total Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
8.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Vanguard Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Total Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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Vanguard Total Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Total's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Total's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Vanguard Total Technical Analysis

Vanguard Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Total Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Total Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Total's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Total Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Total Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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When determining whether Vanguard Total Stock offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vanguard Total's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vanguard Total Stock Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vanguard Total Stock Etf:

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When running Vanguard Total's price analysis, check to measure Vanguard Total's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard Total is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard Total's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard Total's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard Total's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard Total to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Vanguard Total Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Total's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Total's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Total's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Total's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.