Werner Enterprises Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.25

WERN Stock  USD 38.57  0.48  1.26%   
Werner Enterprises' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Werner Enterprises. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Werner Enterprises based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Werner Enterprises over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $35.0 is a CALL option contract on Werner Enterprises' common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.5, and an ask price of $6.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 29.36. View All Werner options

Closest to current price Werner long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Werner Enterprises' future price is the expected price of Werner Enterprises instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Werner Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Werner Enterprises Backtesting, Werner Enterprises Valuation, Werner Enterprises Correlation, Werner Enterprises Hype Analysis, Werner Enterprises Volatility, Werner Enterprises History as well as Werner Enterprises Performance.
To learn how to invest in Werner Stock, please use our How to Invest in Werner Enterprises guide.
  
At this time, Werner Enterprises' Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 2.55, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 19.26. Please specify Werner Enterprises' target price for which you would like Werner Enterprises odds to be computed.

Werner Enterprises Target Price Odds to finish below 39.25

The tendency of Werner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 39.25  after 90 days
 38.57 90 days 39.25 
about 27.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Werner Enterprises to stay under $ 39.25  after 90 days from now is about 27.3 (This Werner Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Werner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Werner Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 38.57  and $ 39.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.14 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Werner Enterprises will likely underperform. Additionally Werner Enterprises has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Werner Enterprises Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Werner Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Werner Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Werner Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.8738.5340.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.7142.6644.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.3739.0340.68
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
41.9846.1351.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Werner Enterprises. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Werner Enterprises' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Werner Enterprises' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Werner Enterprises.

Werner Enterprises Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Werner Enterprises is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Werner Enterprises' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Werner Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Werner Enterprises within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Werner Enterprises Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Werner Enterprises for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Werner Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Werner Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Werner Enterprises has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Kodiak Establishes Industry Advisory Council, Taps Leaders from Walmart, UPS, and Beyond to Help Guide Development and Deployment of Autonomous Trucks

Werner Enterprises Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Werner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Werner Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Werner Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.7 M

Werner Enterprises Technical Analysis

Werner Enterprises' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Werner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Werner Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Werner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Werner Enterprises Predictive Forecast Models

Werner Enterprises' time-series forecasting models is one of many Werner Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Werner Enterprises' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Werner Enterprises

Checking the ongoing alerts about Werner Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Werner Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Werner Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Werner Enterprises has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Kodiak Establishes Industry Advisory Council, Taps Leaders from Walmart, UPS, and Beyond to Help Guide Development and Deployment of Autonomous Trucks
When determining whether Werner Enterprises offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Werner Enterprises' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Werner Enterprises Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Werner Enterprises Stock:
Check out Werner Enterprises Backtesting, Werner Enterprises Valuation, Werner Enterprises Correlation, Werner Enterprises Hype Analysis, Werner Enterprises Volatility, Werner Enterprises History as well as Werner Enterprises Performance.
To learn how to invest in Werner Stock, please use our How to Invest in Werner Enterprises guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Werner Stock analysis

When running Werner Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Werner Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Werner Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Werner Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Werner Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Werner Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Werner Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Werner Enterprises' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Werner Enterprises. If investors know Werner will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Werner Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Dividend Share
0.55
Earnings Share
1.76
Revenue Per Share
51.811
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Werner Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Werner that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Werner Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Werner Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Werner Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Werner Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Werner Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Werner Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Werner Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.