Wells Fargo Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.53

WFC Stock  USD 57.61  0.93  1.64%   
Wells Fargo's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Wells Fargo. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Wells Fargo based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Wells Fargo over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $58.0 is a CALL option contract on Wells Fargo's common stock with a strick price of 58.0 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:58:46 for $0.12 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.11, and an ask price of $0.13. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 22.54. View All Wells options

Closest to current price Wells long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Wells Fargo's future price is the expected price of Wells Fargo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wells Fargo performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wells Fargo Backtesting, Wells Fargo Valuation, Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Hype Analysis, Wells Fargo Volatility, Wells Fargo History as well as Wells Fargo Performance.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.
  
At present, Wells Fargo's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Please specify Wells Fargo's target price for which you would like Wells Fargo odds to be computed.

Wells Fargo Target Price Odds to finish over 58.53

The tendency of Wells Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 58.53  or more in 90 days
 57.61 90 days 58.53 
nearly 4.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wells Fargo to move over $ 58.53  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.17 (This Wells Fargo probability density function shows the probability of Wells Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wells Fargo price to stay between its current price of $ 57.61  and $ 58.53  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.59 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This entails Wells Fargo market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Wells Fargo is expected to follow. Additionally Wells Fargo has an alpha of 0.1072, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wells Fargo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wells Fargo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wells Fargo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.3257.7859.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.9758.4359.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.3155.7757.24
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.0650.6156.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wells Fargo.

Wells Fargo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wells Fargo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wells Fargo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wells Fargo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wells Fargo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Wells Fargo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wells Fargo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wells Fargo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wells Fargo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Wells Fargo paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thinkadvisor.com: 6 Market, Economic Predictions for 2024

Wells Fargo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wells Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wells Fargo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wells Fargo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments113.5 B

Wells Fargo Technical Analysis

Wells Fargo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wells Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wells Fargo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wells Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wells Fargo Predictive Forecast Models

Wells Fargo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wells Fargo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wells Fargo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wells Fargo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wells Fargo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wells Fargo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wells Fargo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of March 2024 Wells Fargo paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thinkadvisor.com: 6 Market, Economic Predictions for 2024
When determining whether Wells Fargo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Wells Fargo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Wells Fargo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Wells Fargo Stock:
Check out Wells Fargo Backtesting, Wells Fargo Valuation, Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Hype Analysis, Wells Fargo Volatility, Wells Fargo History as well as Wells Fargo Performance.
For information on how to trade Wells Stock refer to our How to Trade Wells Stock guide.
Note that the Wells Fargo information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wells Fargo's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Wells Stock analysis

When running Wells Fargo's price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wells Fargo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wells Fargo. If investors know Wells will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wells Fargo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
1.3
Earnings Share
4.83
Revenue Per Share
20.931
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.006
The market value of Wells Fargo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wells that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wells Fargo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wells Fargo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wells Fargo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wells Fargo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.