Wismilak Inti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 248.0
WIIM Stock | IDR 1,135 10.00 0.89% |
Wismilak |
Wismilak Inti Target Price Odds to finish over 248.0
The tendency of Wismilak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 248.00 in 90 days |
1,135 | 90 days | 248.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wismilak Inti to stay above 248.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Wismilak Inti Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Wismilak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wismilak Inti Makmur price to stay between 248.00 and its current price of 1135.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wismilak Inti Makmur has a beta of -0.65. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wismilak Inti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wismilak Inti Makmur is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wismilak Inti Makmur has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Wismilak Inti Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Wismilak Inti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wismilak Inti Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wismilak Inti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wismilak Inti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wismilak Inti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wismilak Inti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wismilak Inti Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wismilak Inti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 207.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Wismilak Inti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wismilak Inti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wismilak Inti Makmur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Wismilak Inti Makmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Wismilak Inti Makmur has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wismilak Inti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wismilak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wismilak Inti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wismilak Inti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 522.2 B |
Wismilak Inti Technical Analysis
Wismilak Inti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wismilak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wismilak Inti Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wismilak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wismilak Inti Predictive Forecast Models
Wismilak Inti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wismilak Inti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wismilak Inti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wismilak Inti Makmur
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wismilak Inti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wismilak Inti Makmur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wismilak Inti Makmur generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Wismilak Inti Makmur has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Wismilak Inti Backtesting, Wismilak Inti Valuation, Wismilak Inti Correlation, Wismilak Inti Hype Analysis, Wismilak Inti Volatility, Wismilak Inti History as well as Wismilak Inti Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for Wismilak Stock analysis
When running Wismilak Inti's price analysis, check to measure Wismilak Inti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wismilak Inti is operating at the current time. Most of Wismilak Inti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wismilak Inti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wismilak Inti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wismilak Inti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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