West Pharmaceutical Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 150.15
| WST Stock | USD 385.73 4.47 1.15% |
Closest to current price West long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
West |
West Pharmaceutical Target Price Odds to finish below 150.15
The tendency of West Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 150.15 or more in 90 days |
| 385.73 | 90 days | 150.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of West Pharmaceutical to drop to $ 150.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This West Pharmaceutical Services probability density function shows the probability of West Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of West Pharmaceutical price to stay between $ 150.15 and its current price of $385.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.88 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon West Pharmaceutical has a beta of 0.69. This entails as returns on the market go up, West Pharmaceutical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding West Pharmaceutical Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally West Pharmaceutical Services has an alpha of 0.1608, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). West Pharmaceutical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for West Pharmaceutical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as West Pharmaceutical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of West Pharmaceutical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
West Pharmaceutical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. West Pharmaceutical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the West Pharmaceutical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold West Pharmaceutical Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of West Pharmaceutical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
West Pharmaceutical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of West Pharmaceutical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for West Pharmaceutical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| West Pharmaceutical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| West Pharmaceutical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Is a Beat Likely for West Pharmaceutical in Q1 Earnings |
West Pharmaceutical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of West Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential West Pharmaceutical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. West Pharmaceutical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 853.9 M |
West Pharmaceutical Technical Analysis
West Pharmaceutical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. West Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of West Pharmaceutical Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing West Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
West Pharmaceutical Predictive Forecast Models
West Pharmaceutical's time-series forecasting models is one of many West Pharmaceutical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary West Pharmaceutical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about West Pharmaceutical
Checking the ongoing alerts about West Pharmaceutical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for West Pharmaceutical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| West Pharmaceutical is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| West Pharmaceutical has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Is a Beat Likely for West Pharmaceutical in Q1 Earnings |
Check out West Pharmaceutical Backtesting, West Pharmaceutical Valuation, West Pharmaceutical Correlation, West Pharmaceutical Hype Analysis, West Pharmaceutical Volatility, West Pharmaceutical History as well as West Pharmaceutical Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for West Stock analysis
When running West Pharmaceutical's price analysis, check to measure West Pharmaceutical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy West Pharmaceutical is operating at the current time. Most of West Pharmaceutical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of West Pharmaceutical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move West Pharmaceutical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of West Pharmaceutical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is West Pharmaceutical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Pharmaceutical. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Pharmaceutical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.334 | Dividend Share 0.77 | Earnings Share 7.88 | Revenue Per Share 39.701 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
The market value of West Pharmaceutical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Pharmaceutical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Pharmaceutical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Pharmaceutical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Pharmaceutical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Pharmaceutical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Pharmaceutical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Pharmaceutical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.