Xintela AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.02

XINT Stock  SEK 0.28  0.02  6.67%   
Xintela AB's future price is the expected price of Xintela AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xintela AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xintela AB Backtesting, Xintela AB Valuation, Xintela AB Correlation, Xintela AB Hype Analysis, Xintela AB Volatility, Xintela AB History as well as Xintela AB Performance.
  
Please specify Xintela AB's target price for which you would like Xintela AB odds to be computed.

Xintela AB Target Price Odds to finish over 3.02

The tendency of Xintela Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 3.02  or more in 90 days
 0.28 90 days 3.02 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xintela AB to move over kr 3.02  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Xintela AB probability density function shows the probability of Xintela Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xintela AB price to stay between its current price of kr 0.28  and kr 3.02  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.99 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xintela AB will likely underperform. Additionally Xintela AB has an alpha of 0.0025, implying that it can generate a 0.002515 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xintela AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xintela AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xintela AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xintela AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.284.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.234.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.264.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.220.260.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xintela AB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xintela AB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xintela AB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xintela AB.

Xintela AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xintela AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xintela AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xintela AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xintela AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Xintela AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xintela AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xintela AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xintela AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Xintela AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xintela AB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (58.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.08 M.
Xintela AB has accumulated about 11.14 M in cash with (42.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Xintela AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xintela Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xintela AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xintela AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.9 M

Xintela AB Technical Analysis

Xintela AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xintela Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xintela AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xintela Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xintela AB Predictive Forecast Models

Xintela AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xintela AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xintela AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xintela AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xintela AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xintela AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xintela AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Xintela AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xintela AB has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (58.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.08 M.
Xintela AB has accumulated about 11.14 M in cash with (42.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.53, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Xintela AB Backtesting, Xintela AB Valuation, Xintela AB Correlation, Xintela AB Hype Analysis, Xintela AB Volatility, Xintela AB History as well as Xintela AB Performance.
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When running Xintela AB's price analysis, check to measure Xintela AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xintela AB is operating at the current time. Most of Xintela AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xintela AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xintela AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xintela AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Xintela AB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xintela AB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xintela AB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.