Exxon (Mexico) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1467.3
| XOM Stock | MXN 1,980 33.81 1.68% |
Exxon |
Exxon Target Price Odds to finish below 1467.3
The tendency of Exxon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,467 or more in 90 days |
| 1,980 | 90 days | 1,467 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exxon to drop to 1,467 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Exxon Mobil probability density function shows the probability of Exxon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exxon Mobil price to stay between 1,467 and its current price of 1980.35 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exxon Mobil has a beta of -0.34. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exxon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exxon Mobil is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exxon Mobil has an alpha of 0.296, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exxon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exxon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exxon Mobil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exxon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exxon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exxon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exxon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exxon Mobil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exxon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 107.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Exxon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exxon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exxon Mobil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Exxon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exxon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exxon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exxon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B |
Exxon Technical Analysis
Exxon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exxon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exxon Mobil. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exxon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exxon Predictive Forecast Models
Exxon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exxon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exxon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exxon Mobil
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exxon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exxon Mobil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Exxon Backtesting, Exxon Valuation, Exxon Correlation, Exxon Hype Analysis, Exxon Volatility, Exxon History as well as Exxon Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for Exxon Stock analysis
When running Exxon's price analysis, check to measure Exxon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exxon is operating at the current time. Most of Exxon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exxon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exxon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exxon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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