Alcoa Corp Stock Current Valuation

AA Stock  USD 31.03  0.59  1.94%   
Valuation analysis of Alcoa Corp helps investors to measure Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. The current year's Enterprise Value Multiple is expected to grow to 26.15. Fundamental drivers impacting Alcoa Corp's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2858
Enterprise Value
6.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
41.5276
Price Sales
0.518
Forward PE
68.9655
Fairly Valued
Today
31.03
Please note that Alcoa Corp's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alcoa Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alcoa Corp's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Alcoa Corp is useful when determining the fair value of the Alcoa stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alcoa Corp. Since Alcoa Corp is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alcoa Stock. However, Alcoa Corp's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  31.03 Real  30.45 Target  35.27 Hype  31.04
The real value of a stock, also known as the intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of a company that is reflected in its stock price. It is based on the company's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, industry conditions, and other relevant factors. The real value of a stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, price-to-book ratio, and other valuation metrics. The real value of a stock may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence the stock's price. It is important to note that the real value of a stock is not a fixed number and may change over time based on changes in the company's performance and other relevant factors.
30.45
Real Value
33.76
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alcoa Corp helps investors to forecast how Alcoa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alcoa Corp more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alcoa Corp's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.92-0.4-0.22
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7331.0434.35
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
32.1035.2739.15
Details

Alcoa Current Valuation Analysis

Alcoa Corp's Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Interest Expense195M106M107M147.5M
Depreciation And Amortization664M617M632M599.4M

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

More About Current Valuation | All Equity Analysis

Current Alcoa Corp Current Valuation

    
  6.44 B  
Most of Alcoa Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Current Valuation, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Alcoa Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Alcoa Current Valuation Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Alcoa Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Alcoa Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since Alcoa Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Alcoa Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Alcoa Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
Competition

In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Alcoa Corp has a Current Valuation of 6.44 B. This is 43.58% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 48.89% lower than that of the Materials industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 61.28% higher than that of the company.

Alcoa Current Valuation Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Alcoa Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Alcoa Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alcoa Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Alcoa Corp is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among related companies.

Alcoa Corp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alcoa Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alcoa Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

Alcoa Fundamentals

About Alcoa Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alcoa Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alcoa Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alcoa Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products in the United States, Spain, Australia, Iceland, Norway, Brazil, Canada, and internationally. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Alcoa Corp operates under Aluminum classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12200 people.

Alcoa Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Alcoa Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Alcoa. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Alcoa Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alcoa. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alcoa can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alcoa Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Alcoa Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Alcoa Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Alcoa Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Alcoa Corp.

Alcoa Corp Implied Volatility

    
  68.85  
Alcoa Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alcoa Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alcoa Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alcoa Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alcoa Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Alcoa Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Alcoa Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Alcoa Corp options trading.

Pair Trading with Alcoa Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcoa Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcoa Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Alcoa Stock

  0.61DC Dakota Gold CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alcoa Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alcoa Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alcoa Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alcoa Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Alcoa Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alcoa Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alcoa Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcoa Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Alcoa Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Alcoa Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Alcoa Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Alcoa Corp Stock:
Check out Alcoa Corp Piotroski F Score and Alcoa Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade Alcoa Stock refer to our How to Trade Alcoa Stock guide.
Note that the Alcoa Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alcoa Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Alcoa Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alcoa Corp. If investors know Alcoa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alcoa Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.81
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(3.65)
Revenue Per Share
59.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Alcoa Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alcoa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alcoa Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alcoa Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alcoa Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alcoa Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alcoa Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alcoa Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alcoa Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.