Apollo Global Management Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| APO Stock | USD 113.77 3.17 2.87% |
Apollo | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Apollo Global Management Company odds of distress Analysis
Apollo Global's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Apollo Global Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 10% |
Most of Apollo Global's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Apollo Global Management is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Apollo Global probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Apollo Global odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Apollo Global Management financial health.
Is Apollo Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Global. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.152 | Dividend Share 1.72 | Earnings Share 8.28 | Revenue Per Share 54.945 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.286 |
The market value of Apollo Global Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Apollo Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Apollo Global is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Apollo Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Apollo Global's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Apollo Global's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Apollo Global's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Apollo Global Management has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 10.0%. This is 79.97% lower than that of the Capital Markets sector and 75.12% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 74.89% higher than that of the company.
Apollo Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Apollo Global's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Apollo Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Global by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Apollo Global is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Apollo Global Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.001732) | 0.18 | 0.0197 | 0.14 | 0.0161 | 0.00912 | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.0995 | 0.2 | 0.26 | 0.11 | |
| Net Debt | 1.3B | 12.2B | 2.7B | 2.2B | (9.6B) | (9.1B) | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 1.4B | 1.6B | 2.9B | 3.3B | 216.4B | 227.3B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 4.1B | 15.7B | 17.4B | 6.0B | 71.8B | 75.4B | |
| Total Assets | 8.5B | 23.7B | 30.5B | 13.8B | 313.5B | 329.2B | |
| Total Current Assets | 2.0B | 3.0B | 2.1B | 3.1B | 176.6B | 185.4B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.1B | (1.6B) | 1.1B | 3.8B | 6.6B | 6.9B |
Apollo Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0228 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 73.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 568.16 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 27.31 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 60.15 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 16.35 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.95 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.96 X | ||||
| Revenue | 33.21 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 29.47 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 6.69 B | ||||
| Net Income | 4.88 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.98 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 33.39 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 8.09 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.72 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.58 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 22.27 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 6.6 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 6.93 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 8.28 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.37 X | ||||
| Target Price | 122.82 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 4.88 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.62 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 62.84 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 313.49 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.97 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (39.84 B) | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 4.88 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 313.49 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.72 |
About Apollo Global Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Apollo Global Management's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Apollo Global using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apollo Global Management based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Apollo Global
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Apollo Global position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Apollo Global will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Apollo Stock
| 0.61 | GS | Goldman Sachs Group Financial Report 17th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Apollo Stock
| 0.71 | DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | AC | Associated Capital | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | ECPG | Encore Capital Group Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | AX | Axos Financial Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Apollo Global could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Apollo Global when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Apollo Global - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Apollo Global Management to buy it.
The correlation of Apollo Global is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Apollo Global moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Apollo Global Management moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Apollo Global can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Apollo Global Piotroski F Score and Apollo Global Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Apollo Stock analysis
When running Apollo Global's price analysis, check to measure Apollo Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apollo Global is operating at the current time. Most of Apollo Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apollo Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apollo Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apollo Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Apollo Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Global. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.152 | Dividend Share 1.72 | Earnings Share 8.28 | Revenue Per Share 54.945 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.286 |
The market value of Apollo Global Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.