Morgan Stanley China Fund Current Valuation

CAF Fund  USD 12.04  0.03  0.25%   
Valuation analysis of Morgan Stanley China helps investors to measure Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns.
Fairly Valued
Today
12.04
Please note that Morgan Stanley's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Morgan Stanley China secures a last-minute Real Value of $12.19 per share. The latest price of the fund is $12.04. We determine the value of Morgan Stanley China from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend locking in undervalued funds and disposing overvalued funds since, at some point, fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Our valuation method for Morgan Stanley China is useful when determining the fair value of the Morgan fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Morgan Stanley. Since Morgan Stanley is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Morgan Fund. However, Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.04 Real  12.19 Hype  12.07
The real value of Morgan Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Morgan Stanley China Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Morgan Stanley's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Morgan Stanley's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.19
Real Value
13.58
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Morgan Stanley China helps investors to forecast how Morgan fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Morgan Stanley more accurately as focusing exclusively on Morgan Stanley's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6812.0713.46
Details

Morgan Stanley China Fund Current Valuation Analysis

Morgan Stanley's Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

More About Current Valuation | All Equity Analysis
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
Competition

In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Morgan Stanley China has a Current Valuation of 0.0. This indicator is about the same for the Financial Services average (which is currently at 0.0) family and about the same as Asset Management (which currently averages 0.0) category. This indicator is about the same for all United States funds average (which is currently at 0.0).

Morgan Current Valuation Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Morgan Stanley's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Morgan Stanley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morgan Stanley by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Morgan Stanley is currently under evaluation in current valuation among similar funds.

Morgan Fundamentals

About Morgan Stanley Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Morgan Stanley China's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Morgan Stanley using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley China based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Morgan Stanley in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Morgan Stanley's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Morgan Stanley options trading.

Pair Trading with Morgan Stanley

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Morgan Stanley position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Morgan Stanley will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Morgan Fund

  0.57SAEXX State Street InstituPairCorr
  0.56MSTVX Morningstar AlternativesPairCorr
  0.55FKIQX Franklin IncomePairCorr
  0.55ALEFX Alps/alerian EnergyPairCorr
  0.52DODGX Dodge Stock FundPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Morgan Stanley could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Morgan Stanley when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Morgan Stanley - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Morgan Stanley China to buy it.
The correlation of Morgan Stanley is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Morgan Stanley moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Morgan Stanley China moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Morgan Stanley can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Morgan Stanley China. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more detail on how to invest in Morgan Fund please use our How to Invest in Morgan Stanley guide.
Note that the Morgan Stanley China information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Morgan Stanley's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Morgan Stanley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Morgan Stanley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Morgan Stanley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.