Chesapeake Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Chesapeake Energy 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
71 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Chesapeake Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

  Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   Chesapeake Energy Comparables 
Based on latest financial disclosure Chesapeake Energy Corporation has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 71%. This is 55.43% higher than that of the Basic Materials sector, and 23.56% higher than that of Independent Oil and Gas industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 82.28% lower than the firm.
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CXO NYQConcho Resources Inc
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CHK NYQChesapeake Energy Corporation
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You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  
Peer Comparison
Chesapeake Energy Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   Chesapeake Energy Comparables 
Chesapeake Energy is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Risk-Return Analysis

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Return On Equity(181.36) %
Return On Asset(1.96) %
Profit Margin(98.80) %
Operating Margin(6.85) %
Current Valuation15.69 B
Shares Outstanding765.32 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.92 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.30 %
Number of Shares Shorted115.76 M
Price to Earning32.62 times
Price to Book1.47 times
Price to Sales0.55 times
Revenue9.62 B
Gross Profit2.47 B
EBITDA810 M
Net Income(9.68 B)
Cash and Equivalents4 M
Cash per Share0.01 times
Total Debt9.65 B
Current Ratio0.32 times
Book Value Per Share(4.00) times
Cash Flow from Operations171 M
Short Ratio2.27 times
One Year High9.55
One Year Low1.5
Earnings Per Share(33.88) times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.76 times
Number of Employees4.4 K
Beta2.1
Market Capitalization5.07 B
Total Asset13.49 B
Retained Earnings(15.87 B)
Working Capital(2.57 B)
Current Asset1.2 B
Current Liabilities3.78 B
Z Score-1.4