Compx International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CIX Stock  USD 34.30  0.06  0.17%   
CompX International's odds of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Chance Of Bankruptcy shows the probability of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the CompX balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out CompX International Piotroski F Score and CompX International Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy CompX Stock please use our How to Invest in CompX International guide.
  

CompX Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

CompX International's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total21.3M32.7M
Total Assets187.6M135.5M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current CompX International Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of CompX International's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, CompX International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of CompX International probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting CompX International odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of CompX International financial health.
Is CompX International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CompX International. If investors know CompX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CompX International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.395
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
13.101
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
The market value of CompX International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CompX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CompX International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CompX International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CompX International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CompX International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CompX International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CompX International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CompX International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CompX Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for CompX International is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of CompX Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since CompX International's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of CompX International's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of CompX International's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, CompX International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.65% lower than that of the Commercial Services & Supplies sector and 97.84% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

CompX Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses CompX International's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of CompX International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CompX International by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
CompX International is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

CompX International Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.09190.08960.05610.08610.120.13
Asset Turnover0.70.620.730.940.860.99
Net Debt(63.3M)(70.6M)(76.6M)(26.7M)(41.4M)(39.3M)
Total Current Liabilities13.1M13.2M16.4M16.7M17.2M16.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total3.3M3.2M2.9M2.3M1.6M1.5M
Total Assets178.5M184.0M192.5M177.4M187.6M135.5M
Total Current Assets95.1M101.2M120.2M111.2M126.6M86.2M
Total Cash From Operating Activities18.5M15.5M10.5M16.9M25.8M14.5M

CompX Fundamentals

About CompX International Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CompX International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CompX International using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CompX International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells security products and recreational marine components primarily in North America. CompX International Inc. is a subsidiary of NL Industries, Inc. Compx International operates under Security Protection Services classification in the United States and is traded on AMEX Exchange. It employs 570 people.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CompX International in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CompX International's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CompX International options trading.

Pair Trading with CompX International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if CompX International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CompX International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CompX Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to CompX International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace CompX International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back CompX International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling CompX International to buy it.
The correlation of CompX International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as CompX International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if CompX International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for CompX International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether CompX International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CompX International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Compx International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Compx International Stock:
Check out CompX International Piotroski F Score and CompX International Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy CompX Stock please use our How to Invest in CompX International guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running CompX International's price analysis, check to measure CompX International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CompX International is operating at the current time. Most of CompX International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CompX International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CompX International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CompX International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CompX International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CompX International. If investors know CompX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CompX International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.395
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
13.101
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
The market value of CompX International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CompX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CompX International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CompX International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CompX International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CompX International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CompX International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CompX International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CompX International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.