Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy

  

Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Carpenter Technology 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
17 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare Carpenter Technology to competition

Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

  Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed   Carpenter Technology Comparables 
Based on latest financial disclosure Carpenter Technology Corp has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 17.0%. This is 56.15% lower than that of the Industrial Goods sector, and 54.69% lower than that of Metal Fabrication industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 60.51% higher than the company.
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Filter other Stocks by Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Found 10 equities by Probability Of Bankruptcy
TS NYQTenaris SA
1 %
VMI NYQValmont Industries Inc
20 %
MLI NYQMueller Industries Inc
5 %
CRS NYQCarpenter Technology Corp
17 %
ATI NYQAllegheny Technologies Inc
28 %
GTLS NMSChart Industries Inc
25 %
CSTM NYQConstellium NV
28 %
RYI NYQRyerson Holding Corporation
44 %
HAYN NMSHaynes International Inc
1 %
GHM NYQGraham Corporation
2 %
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  

Chance of Financial Distress

Carpenter Technology Corp has less than 17 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operations. More Info
Return On Equity1.46 %
Return On Asset2.79 %
Profit Margin0.99 %
Operating Margin6.72 %
Current Valuation2.43 B
Shares Outstanding46.59 M
Shares Owned by Insiders8.95 %
Shares Owned by Institutions89.40 %
Number of Shares Shorted4.84 M
Price to Earning104.20 times
Price to Book1.55 times
Price to Sales0.96 times
Revenue1.91 B
Gross Profit318.3 M
EBITDA243.5 M
Net Income18.8 M
Cash and Equivalents23.9 M
Cash per Share0.51 times
Total Debt637.9 M
Debt to Equity0.54 times
Current Ratio3.23 times
Book Value Per Share25.48 times
Cash Flow from Operations271.4 M
Short Ratio13.76 times
One Year High40.42
One Year Low23.99
Earnings Per Share0.37 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.41 times
Number of Employees4.9 K
Beta1.91
Market Capitalization1.82 B
Total Asset2.79 B
Retained Earnings1.3 B
Working Capital701 M
Current Asset1.02 B
Current Liabilities315.1 M
Z Score1.2