Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy

  

Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis.The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund going into bankruptcy or experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Carpenter Technology 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
44.4 %

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Companies or funds with Probability Of Bankruptcy above 90% are generally considered to be high risk with a good chance of bankruptcy in the next 2 years. On the other hand entities with Probability Of Bankruptcy of less than 15% will most likely experience some growth in the next 2 years. Probability Of Bankruptcy is based on Macroaxis own algorithm and can be used by auditors, accountants, money managers, financial advisers, as well as day traders to evaluate unsystematic risk of a stock, fund or ETF.
Compare Carpenter Technology to competition

Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

Of Bankruptcy  
Benchmark  Embed   Carpenter Technology Comparables 
Based on latest financial disclosure Carpenter Technology Corp has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 44.4%. This is 11.7% higher than that of the Industrial Goods sector, and 11.9% higher than that of Metal Fabrication industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 8.07% higher than the company.
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Found 10 equities

Probability Of Bankruptcy

PCP NYQPrecision Castparts Corp
15.72%
TS NYQTenaris SA
7.62%
VMI NYQValmont Industries Inc
31.78%
MLI NYQMueller Industries Inc
13.14%
CRS NYQCarpenter Technology Corp
42.5%
ATI NYQAllegheny Technologies Inc
53.08%
CSTM NYQConstellium NV
44.87%
GTLS NMSChart Industries Inc
42.4%
HAYN NMSHaynes International Inc
1.0%
GHM NYQGraham Corporation
1.0%
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  

Chance of Financial Distress

Carpenter Technology Corp has less than 44 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operations. More Info
Return On Equity3.92 %
Return On Asset3.22 %
Profit Margin2.54 %
Operating Margin7.10 %
Current Valuation1.82 B
Shares Outstanding49.12 M
Shares Owned by Insiders8.95 %
Shares Owned by Institutions89.40 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.76 M
Price to Earning24.86 times
Price to Book0.97 times
Price to Sales0.58 times
Revenue2.13 B
Gross Profit318.3 M
EBITDA267.2 M
Net Income54 M
Cash and Equivalents31.2 M
Cash per Share0.64 times
Total Debt611 M
Debt to Equity0.48 times
Current Ratio3.23 times
Book Value Per Share26.00 times
Cash Flow from Operations309.1 M
Short Ratio4.98 times
One Year High45.42
One Year Low24.75
Earnings Per Share1.05 times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.68 times
Number of Employees4.9 K
Beta1.9
Market Capitalization1.28 B
Total Asset2.87 B
Retained Earnings1.33 B
Working Capital722.6 M
Current Asset1.05 B
Current Liabilities324.4 M
Z Score1.2