Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
Carpenter Technology 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
48 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition

Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

Margin
Carpenter Technology Margin Growth Rates
Operating Margin
EBITDA Margin
Gross Margin
Based on latest financial disclosure Carpenter Technology Corp has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 48.0%. This is much higher than that of the Primary Production sector, and significantly higher than that of Non-ferrous Metals Production And Products industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is over 1000% lower than the firm.
Peer Comparison
Carpenter Technology Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
Benchmark  Embed    Carpenter Technology Comparables 
Carpenter Technology is rated second in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Return On Equity0.93 %
Return On Asset0.0002 %
Profit Margin0.62 %
Operating Margin5.19 %
Current Valuation2.15 B
Shares Outstanding48.1 M
Shares Owned by Insiders8.95 %
Shares Owned by Institutions89.40 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.63 M
Price to Earning169.87 times
Price to Book1.56 times
Price to Sales1.00 times
Revenue1.81 B
Gross Profit255.9 M
EBITDA196.3 M
Net Income11.3 M
Cash and Equivalents82 M
Cash per Share1.10 times
Total Debt611.3 M
Debt to Equity0.54 times
Current Ratio3.95 times
Book Value Per Share23.56 times
Cash Flow from Operations256.9 M
Short Ratio6.90 times
Earnings Per Share(0.08) times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.26 times
Number of Employees4.5 K
Beta2.26
Market Capitalization1.53 B
Total Asset2.79 B
Retained Earnings1.31 B
Working Capital711.9 M
Current Asset1.01 B
Current Liabilities298.8 M
Z Score1.2