JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy

  

Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis.The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund going into bankruptcy or experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
JC Penney 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
46.48 %

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Companies or funds with Probability Of Bankruptcy above 90% are generally considered to be high risk with a good chance of bankruptcy in the next 2 years. On the other hand entities with Probability Of Bankruptcy of less than 15% will most likely experience some growth in the next 2 years. Probability Of Bankruptcy is based on Macroaxis own algorithm and can be used by auditors, accountants, money managers, financial advisers, as well as day traders to evaluate unsystematic risk of a stock, fund or ETF.
Compare JC Penney to competition

JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

Of Bankruptcy  
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Based on latest financial disclosure J C Penney Company Inc has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 46.48%. This is 19.92% higher than that of the Services sector, and 35.59% higher than that of Department Stores industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 3.77% higher than the company.
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Found 9 equities

Probability Of Bankruptcy

TJX NYQThe TJX Companies Inc
1.0%
M NYQMacys Inc
39.69%
KSS NYQKohls Corp
40.4%
DDS NYQDillards Inc
36.5%
JCP NYQJ C Penney Company Inc
44.58%
SHLD NMSSears Holdings Corporation
37.07%
MYR ASXMyer Holdings Limited
37.8%
BONT NMSBonTon Stores Inc
49.29%
BSI NYQAlon Blue Square Israel Ltd
45.88%
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  

Chance of Financial Distress

J C Penney Company Inc has less than 46 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operations. More Info
Return On Equity(25.20) %
Return On Asset0.04 %
Profit Margin(4.00) %
Operating Margin0.06 %
Current Valuation6.94 B
Shares Outstanding306 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.18 %
Shares Owned by Institutions85.60 %
Number of Shares Shorted104.14 M
Price to Earning454.25 times
Price to Book1.45 times
Price to Sales0.18 times
Revenue12.52 B
Gross Profit4.26 B
EBITDA623 M
Net Income(501 M)
Cash and Equivalents638 M
Cash per Share2.09 times
Total Debt5.31 B
Debt to Equity3.44 times
Current Ratio1.67 times
Book Value Per Share5.06 times
Cash Flow from Operations277 M
Short Ratio6.82 times
One Year High10.09
One Year Low6.0
Earnings Per Share(1.65) times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.22 times
Number of Employees114 K
Beta0.42
Market Capitalization2.26 B
Total Asset10.55 B
Retained Earnings(2.22 B)
Working Capital1.9 B
Current Asset4.73 B
Current Liabilities2.83 B
Z Score1.0