JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
JC Penney 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
41 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, RND expenses, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition
Based on latest financial disclosure J C Penney Company Inc has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 41.0%. This is much higher than that of the sector, and significantly higher than that of Probability Of Bankruptcy industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is over 1000% lower than the firm.
Peer Comparison
JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
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JC Penney is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
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Fundamentals Comparison

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Return On Equity(0.24) %
Return On Asset0.01 %
Profit Margin(0.03) %
Operating Margin0.98 %
Current Valuation6.88 B
Shares Outstanding305.9 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.18 %
Shares Owned by Institutions85.60 %
Number of Shares Shorted59.94 M
Price to Earning454.25 times
Price to Book1.87 times
Price to Sales0.17 times
Revenue12.62 B
Gross Profit4.55 B
EBITDA517 M
Net Income(513 M)
Cash and Equivalents900 M
Cash per Share0.59 times
Total Debt4.8 B
Debt to Equity4.23 times
Current Ratio1.47 times
Book Value Per Share4.28 times
Cash Flow from Operations440 M
Short Ratio4.30 times
Earnings Per Share(1.05) times
Price to Earnings To Growth(8.26) times
Number of Employees105 K
Beta0.86
Market Capitalization2.22 B
Total Asset9.44 B
Retained Earnings(3.01 B)
Working Capital1.61 B
Current Asset4.02 B
Current Liabilities2.41 B
Z Score1.0