JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy

  

Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis.The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund going into bankruptcy or experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
JC Penney 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
 = 
Normalized 
 
Z-Score 
 = 
37 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Companies or funds with Probability Of Bankruptcy above 90% are generally considered to be high risk with a good chance of bankruptcy in the next 2 years. On the other hand entities with Probability Of Bankruptcy of less than 15% will most likely experience some growth in the next 2 years. Probability Of Bankruptcy is based on Macroaxis own algorithm and can be used by auditors, accountants, money managers, financial advisers, as well as day traders to evaluate unsystematic risk of a stock, fund or ETF.
Compare JC Penney to competition

JC Penney Probability Of Bankruptcy Assessment

  Of Bankruptcy 
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Based on latest financial disclosure J C Penney Company Inc has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 37.0%. This is 4.12% lower than that of the Services sector, and 9.34% higher than that of Department Stores industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is 14.05% higher than the company.
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Found 9 equities by Probability Of Bankruptcy
TJX NYQThe TJX Companies Inc
1 %
LAME4 SAOLojas Americanas SA
27 %
M NYQMacys Inc
34 %
KSS NYQKohls Corp
35 %
JCP NYQJ C Penney Company Inc
37 %
DDS NYQDillards Inc
14 %
SHLD NMSSears Holdings Corporation
32 %
MYR ASXMyer Holdings Limited
12 %
BONT NMSBonTon Stores Inc
46 %
You can backtest this sub-set of assets as a synthetic portfolio or check its risk adjusted returns  

Chance of Financial Distress

J C Penney Company Inc has less than 37 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operations. More Info
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Return On Equity(28.50) %
Return On Asset0.34 %
Profit Margin(3.43) %
Operating Margin0.42 %
Current Valuation6.95 B
Shares Outstanding307.44 M
Shares Owned by Insiders1.18 %
Shares Owned by Institutions85.60 %
Number of Shares Shorted88.39 M
Price to Earning454.25 times
Price to Book2.11 times
Price to Sales0.21 times
Revenue12.58 B
Gross Profit4.55 B
EBITDA669 M
Net Income(431 M)
Cash and Equivalents415 M
Cash per Share1.35 times
Total Debt4.76 B
Debt to Equity3.81 times
Current Ratio1.55 times
Book Value Per Share4.07 times
Cash Flow from Operations272 M
Short Ratio6.69 times
One Year High11.99
One Year Low6.0
Earnings Per Share(1.41) times
Price to Earnings To Growth(15.30) times
Number of Employees105 K
Beta0.42
Market Capitalization2.6 B
Total Asset9.13 B
Retained Earnings(3.08 B)
Working Capital1.34 B
Current Asset3.8 B
Current Liabilities2.46 B
Z Score1.0