Old Republic International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| ORI Stock | USD 30.21 0.45 1.51% |
Old Republic International fundamentals help investors to digest information that contributes to Old Republic's financial success or failures. It also enables traders to predict the movement of Old Stock. The fundamental analysis module provides a way to measure Old Republic's intrinsic value by examining its available economic and financial indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes, the income statement patterns, and various microeconomic indicators and financial ratios related to Old Republic stock.
Old | Probability_Of_Bankruptcy |
Old Republic International Company probability of distress Analysis
Old Republic's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability_Of_Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Old Republic Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 3% |
Most of Old Republic's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Old Republic International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Old Republic probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Old Republic odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Old Republic International financial health.
Is Old Republic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Republic. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Republic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share 25.672 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Old Republic Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Republic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Republic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Republic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Republic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Republic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Republic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Republic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Old Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Old Republic is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Old Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Old Republic's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Old Republic's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Old Republic's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Old Republic International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.
Old Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Old Republic's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Old Republic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Old Republic by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Old Republic is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Old Republic Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Old Republic from analyzing Old Republic's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Old Republic's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Old Republic's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 6.7B | 5.9B | 7.4B | 7.3B | 8.3B | 8.7B | |
| Enterprise Value | (2.7B) | (4.5B) | (2.4B) | (3.8B) | 9.7B | 10.2B |
Old Republic ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Old Republic's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Old Republic's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Old Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0951 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0201 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.74 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 275.5 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.38 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 74.40 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.18 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.33 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.26 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.11 X | ||||
| Revenue | 7.26 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.64 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 598.6 M | ||||
| Net Income | 598.6 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.47 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.85 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.59 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.57 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 23.36 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 880.4 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.22 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.10 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.85) X | ||||
| Target Price | 34.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 9.2 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.86 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 8.2 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 20.88 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 5.64 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 3.90 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 20.88 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.98 |
About Old Republic Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Old Republic International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Old Republic using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Republic International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Old Republic Piotroski F Score and Old Republic Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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When running Old Republic's price analysis, check to measure Old Republic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old Republic is operating at the current time. Most of Old Republic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old Republic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old Republic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old Republic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Old Republic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Republic. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Republic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Dividend Share 0.98 | Earnings Share 2.1 | Revenue Per Share 25.672 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Old Republic Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Republic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Republic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Republic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Republic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Republic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Republic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Republic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.