Progressive Corp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| PGR Stock | USD 214.69 4.94 2.36% |
Progressive | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Progressive Corp Company probability of distress Analysis
Progressive Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Progressive Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Progressive Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Progressive Corp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Progressive Corp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Progressive Corp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Progressive Corp financial health.
Is Progressive Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Progressive Corp. If investors know Progressive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Progressive Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.253 | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 9.77 | Revenue Per Share 111.143 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 |
The market value of Progressive Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Progressive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Progressive Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Progressive Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Progressive Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Progressive Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Progressive Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Progressive Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Progressive Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Progressive Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Progressive Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Progressive Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Progressive Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Progressive Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Progressive Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Progressive Corp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Progressive Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Progressive Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Progressive Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progressive Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Progressive Corp is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Progressive Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0723 | 0.089 | 0.0471 | 0.0103 | 0.0463 | 0.0393 | |
| Net Debt | 4.2B | 5.3B | 4.7B | 6.3B | 7.0B | 7.3B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 16.3B | 19.6B | 21.2B | 24.5B | 29.6B | 15.1B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 21.6B | 24.1B | 27.4B | 29.8B | 34.4B | 36.2B | |
| Total Assets | 54.9B | 64.1B | 71.1B | 70.2B | 84.3B | 88.5B | |
| Total Current Assets | 45.8B | 54.2B | 59.2B | 19.7B | 23.9B | 25.0B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 6.3B | 6.9B | 7.8B | 6.8B | 10.6B | 11.2B |
Progressive Corp ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Progressive Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Progressive Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Progressive Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.3 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0542 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 128.41 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 585.69 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.26 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.44 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.39 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 93.06 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 6.04 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.84 X | ||||
| Revenue | 62.08 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.69 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 299.7 M | ||||
| Net Income | 3.9 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.59 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 7.84 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 7.07 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 37.24 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 10.64 B | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.47 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 9.77 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.48 X | ||||
| Target Price | 226.87 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 61.43 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.35 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 122.85 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 84.33 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 18.8 B | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 2.44 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 84.33 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.15 |
About Progressive Corp Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Progressive Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Progressive Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Progressive Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Progressive Corp Investors Sentiment
The influence of Progressive Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Progressive. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Progressive Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Progressive. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Progressive can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Progressive Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Progressive Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Progressive Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Progressive Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Progressive Corp.
Progressive Corp Implied Volatility | 56.52 |
Progressive Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Progressive Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Progressive Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Progressive Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Progressive Corp's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Progressive Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Progressive Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Progressive Corp options trading.
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Check out Progressive Corp Piotroski F Score and Progressive Corp Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Progressive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Progressive Corp guide.Note that the Progressive Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Progressive Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Progressive Stock analysis
When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Progressive Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Progressive Corp. If investors know Progressive will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Progressive Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.253 | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 9.77 | Revenue Per Share 111.143 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.206 |
The market value of Progressive Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Progressive that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Progressive Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Progressive Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Progressive Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Progressive Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Progressive Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Progressive Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Progressive Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.