Royal Dutch Shell Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
Royal Dutch's odds of distress is above 80% at the present time. It has very high probability of going through financial trouble in the upcoming years. Royal Dutch's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Royal Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Royal balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Royal |
Royal Dutch Shell Company chance of financial distress Analysis
Royal Dutch's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Royal Dutch Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 100% |
Most of Royal Dutch's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Royal Dutch Shell is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Royal Dutch probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Royal Dutch odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Royal Dutch Shell financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Royal Dutch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Royal Dutch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Royal Dutch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party. The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
CompetitionBased on the latest financial disclosure, Royal Dutch Shell has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is 107.38% higher than that of the Energy sector and 131.96% higher than that of the Oil & Gas Integrated industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 151.07% lower than that of the firm.
Royal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Royal Dutch's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the pink sheets which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Royal Dutch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Royal Dutch by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Royal Dutch is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Royal Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 3.1 | |||
| Return On Asset | -1.4 | |||
| Profit Margin | 2.10 % | |||
| Operating Margin | (4.01) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 237.06 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.58 B | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.11 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 43.41 % | |||
| Price To Earning | 44.61 X | |||
| Price To Book | 1.26 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.93 X | |||
| Revenue | 220.21 B | |||
| Gross Profit | 39.45 B | |||
| EBITDA | 30.72 B | |||
| Net Income | 4.63 B | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 38.07 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 4.90 X | |||
| Total Debt | 95.39 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.57 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 1.26 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 21.02 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 43.22 B | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.59 X | |||
| Number Of Employees | 87 K | |||
| Beta | 1.05 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 205.64 B | |||
| Total Asset | 419.65 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 176.17 B | |||
| Working Capital | 12.16 B | |||
| Current Asset | 87.1 B | |||
| Current Liabilities | 74.94 B | |||
| Z Score | 1.2 | |||
| Five Year Return | 6.24 % | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.82 |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Royal Dutch in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Royal Dutch's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Royal Dutch options trading.
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Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. Note that the Royal Dutch Shell information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Royal Dutch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Other Consideration for investing in Royal Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Royal Dutch Shell check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Royal Dutch's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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