Supercom Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| SPCB Stock | USD 0.24 0.12 33.33% |
Supercom | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Supercom Company chance of distress Analysis
Supercom's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Supercom Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 65% |
Most of Supercom's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Supercom is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Supercom probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Supercom odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Supercom financial health.
Is Supercom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Supercom. If investors know Supercom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Supercom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.104 | Earnings Share (0.99) | Revenue Per Share 4.242 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Supercom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Supercom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Supercom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Supercom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Supercom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Supercom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Supercom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Supercom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Supercom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Supercom Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Supercom is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Supercom Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Supercom's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Supercom's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Supercom's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Supercom has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 65%. This is 52.65% higher than that of the Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector and 40.63% higher than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 63.19% lower than that of the firm.
Supercom Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Supercom's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Supercom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Supercom by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Supercom is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Supercom Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.35) | (0.29) | (0.19) | (0.24) | (0.18) | (0.17) | |
| Asset Turnover | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.46 |
Supercom Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.57 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0421 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.10) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 35.89 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 6.67 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.14 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 5.26 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 106.2 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | (2.67) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.53 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | ||||
| Revenue | 17.65 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 6.39 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (3.31 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (7.46 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.91 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 34.16 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.91 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.22 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.83 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (4.65 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.17 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.99) X | ||||
| Target Price | 1.5 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 122 | ||||
| Beta | 0.26 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.49 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 42.04 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (102.93 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 21.05 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 48.08 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 10.24 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 42.04 M |
About Supercom Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Supercom's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Supercom using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Supercom based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Supercom in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Supercom's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Supercom options trading.
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When determining whether Supercom offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Supercom's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Supercom Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Supercom Stock:Check out Supercom Piotroski F Score and Supercom Altman Z Score analysis. For information on how to trade Supercom Stock refer to our How to Trade Supercom Stock guide.Note that the Supercom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Supercom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Supercom Stock analysis
When running Supercom's price analysis, check to measure Supercom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Supercom is operating at the current time. Most of Supercom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Supercom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Supercom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Supercom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Supercom's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Supercom. If investors know Supercom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Supercom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.104 | Earnings Share (0.99) | Revenue Per Share 4.242 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Supercom is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Supercom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Supercom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Supercom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Supercom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Supercom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Supercom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Supercom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Supercom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.