United Parcel Probability Of Bankruptcy

UPS -- USA Stock  

USD 112.16  0.09  0.08%

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Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

For stocks, Probability Of Bankruptcy is normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100 indicating the actual probability the firm will be distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
United Parcel 
Probability Of Bankruptcy 
21 %

Distress Driver Correlations

About Probability Of Bankruptcy

Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12 or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty to meet its current financial obligations towards its creditors or to deliver on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions on a daily bases from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns including short term and long term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenues patterns, R&D expenses and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Compare to competition


United Parcel Income Change Over Time

Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income

Based on latest financial disclosure United Parcel Service has Probability Of Bankruptcy of 21.0%. This is much higher than that of the Industrials sector, and significantly higher than that of Transport Logistics And Distribution industry, The Probability Of Bankruptcy for all stocks is over 1000% lower than the firm.

Peer Comparison

United Parcel Probability Of Bankruptcy Comparison
  Probability Of Bankruptcy 
      United Parcel Comparables 
United Parcel is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Current United Parcel financial ratios

Return On Equity526.00 %
Return On Asset11.21 %
Profit Margin7.54 %
Operating Margin14.46 %
Current Valuation112.5 B
Shares Outstanding689.56 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01 %
Shares Owned by Institutions68.68 %
Number of Shares Shorted12.22 M
Price to Earning19.22 times
Price to Book71.98 times
Price to Sales1.43 times
Revenue67.48 B
Gross Profit14.85 B
Net Income5.09 B
Cash and Equivalents4.21 B
Cash per Share4.89 times
Total Debt23.14 B
Current Ratio1.22 times
Book Value Per Share1.56 times
Cash Flow from Operations1.16 B
Short Ratio4.40 times
Earnings Per Share5.83 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.41 times
Number of Employees238.83 K
Market Capitalization96.57 B
Total Asset38.31 B
Retained Earnings4.88 B
Working Capital2.51 B
Current Asset13.21 B
Current Liabilities10.7 B
Z Score3.4
Five Year Return2.79 %
Last Dividend Paid3.64