Urban Outfitters Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| URBN Stock | USD 39.19 0.17 0.43% |
Urban Outfitters fundamentals help investors to digest information that contributes to Urban Outfitters' financial success or failures. It also enables traders to predict the movement of Urban Stock. The fundamental analysis module provides a way to measure Urban Outfitters' intrinsic value by examining its available economic and financial indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes, the income statement patterns, and various microeconomic indicators and financial ratios related to Urban Outfitters stock.
Urban | Probability_Of_Bankruptcy |
Urban Outfitters Company odds of distress Analysis
Urban Outfitters' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
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Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Urban Outfitters Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Urban Outfitters' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Urban Outfitters is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Urban Outfitters probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Urban Outfitters odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Urban Outfitters financial health.
Is Urban Outfitters' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.479 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 55.592 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0622 |
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Urban Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Urban Outfitters is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Urban Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Urban Outfitters' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Urban Outfitters' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Urban Outfitters' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Urban Outfitters has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Urban Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Urban Outfitters' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Urban Outfitters could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Urban Outfitters by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Urban Outfitters is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Urban Outfitters Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Urban Outfitters from analyzing Urban Outfitters' financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Urban Outfitters' ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Urban Outfitters' important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 2.6B | 2.7B | 2.8B | 2.6B | 2.3B | 2.3B | |
| Enterprise Value | 3.7B | 3.6B | 3.8B | 3.5B | 3.1B | 2.4B |
Urban Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0622 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.29 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.97 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.60 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 73.78 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.92 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 15.94 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.71 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.70 X | ||||
| Revenue | 5.15 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.43 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 490.56 M | ||||
| Net Income | 287.67 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 293.8 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.19 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.08 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 22.77 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 509.41 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 2.02 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.05 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.50 X | ||||
| Target Price | 43.79 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 10.92 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.55 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.66 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.11 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.11 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 288.3 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 834.36 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 329.23 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 4.11 B |
About Urban Outfitters Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Urban Outfitters's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Urban Outfitters using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Urban Outfitters based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Urban Outfitters offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Urban Outfitters' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Urban Outfitters Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Urban Outfitters Stock:Check out Urban Outfitters Piotroski F Score and Urban Outfitters Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Outfitters guide.Note that the Urban Outfitters information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban Outfitters' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban Outfitters' price analysis, check to measure Urban Outfitters' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban Outfitters is operating at the current time. Most of Urban Outfitters' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban Outfitters' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban Outfitters' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban Outfitters to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Urban Outfitters' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.479 | Earnings Share 3.05 | Revenue Per Share 55.592 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0622 |
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Outfitters is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.