Vericel Corp Ord Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

VCEL Stock  USD 52.33  2.77  5.59%   
Vericel Corp's chance of distress is under 9% at the moment. It has tiny odds of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Vericel Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Vericel Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vericel balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Vericel Corp Piotroski F Score and Vericel Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
  

Vericel Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Vericel Corp's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Vericel Corp Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 9%  
Most of Vericel Corp's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vericel Corp Ord is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Vericel Corp probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vericel Corp odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vericel Corp Ord financial health.
Is Vericel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vericel Corp. If investors know Vericel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vericel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.045
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
4.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.233
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Vericel Corp Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vericel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vericel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vericel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vericel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vericel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vericel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vericel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vericel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vericel Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Vericel Corp is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Vericel Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Vericel Corp's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Vericel Corp's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Vericel Corp's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.530.990.23-0.620.920.980.990.850.950.990.880.760.920.960.830.960.98-0.160.830.42-0.90.950.940.940.89
0.530.5-0.01-0.250.70.490.560.840.550.50.420.370.440.410.270.450.47-0.190.290.0-0.310.480.480.640.36
0.990.50.14-0.690.890.980.980.80.90.990.90.810.960.950.850.960.98-0.180.880.42-0.90.950.960.910.86
0.23-0.010.140.350.080.20.230.220.410.160.270.23-0.010.320.230.220.16-0.070.10.03-0.350.230.190.220.29
-0.62-0.25-0.690.35-0.59-0.7-0.62-0.39-0.42-0.66-0.6-0.51-0.86-0.58-0.65-0.62-0.67-0.11-0.64-0.520.54-0.59-0.6-0.49-0.49
0.920.70.890.08-0.590.920.920.910.890.890.750.60.840.810.670.810.89-0.110.650.38-0.690.820.80.920.73
0.980.490.980.2-0.70.920.980.80.920.980.890.760.950.930.860.930.97-0.070.820.51-0.870.920.910.90.83
0.990.560.980.23-0.620.920.980.850.950.980.890.760.920.940.850.950.97-0.110.810.44-0.860.930.930.930.86
0.850.840.80.22-0.390.910.80.850.890.80.630.530.70.790.550.770.79-0.170.510.22-0.670.790.760.930.74
0.950.550.90.41-0.420.890.920.950.890.90.770.610.790.930.750.870.91-0.090.660.38-0.820.870.840.940.88
0.990.50.990.16-0.660.890.980.980.80.90.910.830.950.930.880.960.98-0.130.870.46-0.880.950.960.910.84
0.880.420.90.27-0.60.750.890.890.630.770.910.90.870.80.870.890.85-0.220.90.44-0.830.850.880.720.66
0.760.370.810.23-0.510.60.760.760.530.610.830.90.780.720.810.820.77-0.240.90.34-0.770.830.870.630.59
0.920.440.96-0.01-0.860.840.950.920.70.790.950.870.780.880.880.910.94-0.020.860.51-0.830.880.890.810.78
0.960.410.950.32-0.580.810.930.940.790.930.930.80.720.880.790.930.95-0.190.810.36-0.950.940.920.910.95
0.830.270.850.23-0.650.670.860.850.550.750.880.870.810.880.790.860.870.230.810.44-0.750.810.830.680.69
0.960.450.960.22-0.620.810.930.950.770.870.960.890.820.910.930.860.92-0.170.840.34-0.90.950.950.890.86
0.980.470.980.16-0.670.890.970.970.790.910.980.850.770.940.950.870.92-0.070.850.46-0.870.930.930.90.89
-0.16-0.19-0.18-0.07-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.11-0.17-0.09-0.13-0.22-0.24-0.02-0.190.23-0.17-0.07-0.290.10.32-0.22-0.23-0.17-0.18
0.830.290.880.1-0.640.650.820.810.510.660.870.90.90.860.810.810.840.85-0.290.29-0.860.850.880.660.7
0.420.00.420.03-0.520.380.510.440.220.380.460.440.340.510.360.440.340.460.10.29-0.330.370.380.310.31
-0.9-0.31-0.9-0.350.54-0.69-0.87-0.86-0.67-0.82-0.88-0.83-0.77-0.83-0.95-0.75-0.9-0.870.32-0.86-0.33-0.91-0.9-0.81-0.85
0.950.480.950.23-0.590.820.920.930.790.870.950.850.830.880.940.810.950.93-0.220.850.37-0.910.990.930.88
0.940.480.960.19-0.60.80.910.930.760.840.960.880.870.890.920.830.950.93-0.230.880.38-0.90.990.90.85
0.940.640.910.22-0.490.920.90.930.930.940.910.720.630.810.910.680.890.9-0.170.660.31-0.810.930.90.87
0.890.360.860.29-0.490.730.830.860.740.880.840.660.590.780.950.690.860.89-0.180.70.31-0.850.880.850.87
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vericel Corp Ord has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 79.21% lower than that of the Biotechnology sector and 83.59% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Vericel Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vericel Corp's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vericel Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vericel Corp by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Vericel Corp is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Vericel Corp Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.0516)0.0139(0.0307)(0.0612)(0.008997)(0.009447)
Net Debt814K19.6M(18.2M)(3.5M)1.3M1.3M
Total Current Liabilities19.8M22.5M26.1M37.5M45.7M48.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total22.4M48.9M47.2M43.3M82.0M86.1M
Total Assets153.2M205.6M243.7M273.0M353.7M371.3M
Total Current Assets111.7M123.6M158.5M186.9M205.6M215.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(7.2M)17.6M29.0M17.7M35.3M37.1M

Vericel Fundamentals

About Vericel Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vericel Corp Ord's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vericel Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vericel Corp Ord based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Vericel Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of cellular therapies for sports medicine and severe burn care markets in the United States. Vericel Corporation was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Vericel operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 281 people.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Vericel Corp Ord is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vericel Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vericel Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vericel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vericel Corp Piotroski F Score and Vericel Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
Note that the Vericel Corp Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vericel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Vericel Stock analysis

When running Vericel Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vericel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vericel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vericel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vericel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vericel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vericel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Is Vericel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vericel Corp. If investors know Vericel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vericel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.045
Earnings Share
(0.07)
Revenue Per Share
4.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.233
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Vericel Corp Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vericel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vericel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vericel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vericel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vericel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vericel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vericel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vericel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.