Fossil EBITDA vs. Working Capital

FOSL Stock  USD 0.78  0.02  2.50%   
Taking into consideration Fossil's profitability measurements, Fossil Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in May. Profitability indicators assess Fossil's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
EBITDA  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
-77.5 M
Current Value
-73.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
285.2 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, Fossil's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Days Sales Outstanding is expected to rise to 54.71 this year, although the value of Sales General And Administrative To Revenue will most likely fall to 0.22. At this time, Fossil's Change To Netincome is quite stable compared to the past year. Income Quality is expected to rise to 3.08 this year, although the value of Operating Income is projected to rise to (91.8 M).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.410.44
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For Fossil profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Fossil to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Fossil Group utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Fossil's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Fossil Group over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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Is Fossil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(3.00)
Revenue Per Share
27.014
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fossil Group Working Capital vs. EBITDA Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Fossil's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Fossil value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Fossil Group is rated below average in ebitda category among related companies. It is rated # 4 in working capital category among related companies . The company's current value of EBITDA is estimated at (73.61 Million). Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Fossil by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Fossil's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Fossil's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Fossil Working Capital vs. EBITDA

EBITDA stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is a measure of a company operating cash flow based on data from the company income statement and is a very good way to compare companies within industries or across different sectors. However, unlike Operating Cash Flow, EBITDA does not include the effects of changes in working capital.

Fossil

EBITDA

 = 

Revenue

-

Basic Expenses

 = 
(77.49 M)
In a nutshell, EBITDA is calculated by adding back each of the excluded items to the post-tax profit, and can be used to compare companies with very different capital structures.
Working Capital is a measure of company efficiency and operating liquidity. The working capital is usually calculated by subtracting Current Liabilities from Current Assets. It is an important indicator of the firm ability to continue its normal operations without additional debt obligations. .

Fossil

Working Capital

 = 

Current Assets

-

Current Liabilities

 = 
368.21 M
Working Capital can be positive or negative, depending on how much of current debt the company is carrying on its balance sheet. In general terms, companies that have a lot of working capital will experience more growth in the near future since they can expand and improve their operations using existing resources. On the other hand, companies with small or negative working capital may lack the funds necessary for growth or future operation. Working Capital also shows if the company has sufficient liquid resources to satisfy short-term liabilities and operational expenses.

Fossil Working Capital Comparison

Fossil is currently under evaluation in working capital category among related companies.

Fossil Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Fossil, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Fossil will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Fossil's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Fossil, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-76.4 M-72.6 M
Operating Income-96.6 M-91.8 M
Income Before Tax-156.1 M-148.3 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-59.6 M-56.6 M
Net Loss-157.1 M-149.2 M
Income Tax Expense522 K495.9 K
Net Loss-39.7 M-37.8 M
Net Loss-137.8 M-130.9 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-1.3 M-1.2 M
Net Interest Income-21.1 M-22.2 M
Interest Income3.2 M1.7 M
Change To Netincome37.3 M47.6 M
Net Loss(0.96)(0.92)
Income Quality 2.93  3.08 
Net Income Per E B T 1.77  1.86 

Fossil Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Fossil. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Fossil position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Fossil's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Fossil in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fossil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fossil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Fossil Pair Trading

Fossil Group Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fossil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fossil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fossil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fossil Group to buy it.
The correlation of Fossil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fossil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fossil Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fossil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Fossil position

In addition to having Fossil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Small Cap ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Small Cap ETFs theme has 152 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Cap ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
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You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Fossil's price analysis, check to measure Fossil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fossil is operating at the current time. Most of Fossil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fossil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fossil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fossil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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To fully project Fossil's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Fossil Group at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Fossil's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Fossil investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Fossil investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Fossil's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Fossil's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.