Fossil Retained Earnings vs. Z Score

FOSL Stock  USD 0.78  0.02  2.50%   
Taking into consideration Fossil's profitability measurements, Fossil Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in May. Profitability indicators assess Fossil's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Retained Earnings  
First Reported
1993-03-31
Previous Quarter
46.6 M
Current Value
18.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
345.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, Fossil's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Days Sales Outstanding is expected to rise to 54.71 this year, although the value of Sales General And Administrative To Revenue will most likely fall to 0.22. At this time, Fossil's Change To Netincome is quite stable compared to the past year. Income Quality is expected to rise to 3.08 this year, although the value of Operating Income is projected to rise to (91.8 M).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.410.44
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For Fossil profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Fossil to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Fossil Group utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Fossil's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Fossil Group over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  
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Is Fossil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(3.00)
Revenue Per Share
27.014
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fossil Group Z Score vs. Retained Earnings Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Fossil's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Fossil value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Fossil Group is rated # 3 in retained earnings category among related companies. It is currently under evaluation in z score category among related companies . At this time, Fossil's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year.Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Fossil by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Fossil's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Fossil's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.

Fossil Z Score vs. Retained Earnings

Retained Earnings is a balance sheet account that refers to the portion of company income that is retained by the firm. In other words, it is a part of earnings that is not paid out as dividends or otherwise distributed to owners. Retained Earnings are calculated by adding net income to last period retained earnings and subtracting any dividends paid to owners.

Fossil

Retained Earnings

 = 

Beginning RE + Income

-

Dividends

 = 
18.4 M
Retained Earnings shows how the firm utilizes its profits over time. In simple terms, investors can think of retained earnings as the amount of profit the company has reinvested in the business since its inceptions. However the methodology to make a decision over how much profit to retain is different between companies in different industries. For example, growing industries tend to retain more of their earnings than more matured industries as they need more assets investment to sustain their growth.
Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Fossil

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

 = 
null
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Fossil Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Fossil, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Fossil will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Fossil's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Fossil, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-76.4 M-72.6 M
Operating Income-96.6 M-91.8 M
Income Before Tax-156.1 M-148.3 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-59.6 M-56.6 M
Net Loss-157.1 M-149.2 M
Income Tax Expense522 K495.9 K
Net Loss-39.7 M-37.8 M
Net Loss-137.8 M-130.9 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-1.3 M-1.2 M
Net Interest Income-21.1 M-22.2 M
Interest Income3.2 M1.7 M
Change To Netincome37.3 M47.6 M
Net Loss(0.96)(0.92)
Income Quality 2.93  3.08 
Net Income Per E B T 1.77  1.86 

Fossil Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Fossil. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Fossil position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Fossil's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Fossil in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Fossil position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Fossil will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Fossil Pair Trading

Fossil Group Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Fossil could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Fossil when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Fossil - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Fossil Group to buy it.
The correlation of Fossil is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Fossil moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Fossil Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Fossil can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Fossil position

In addition to having Fossil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Utilities - Regulated Electric Thematic Idea Now

Utilities - Regulated Electric
Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 6 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
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To fully project Fossil's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Fossil Group at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Fossil's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Fossil investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Fossil investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Fossil's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Fossil's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.