A growth case for PTC
 | By Ellen Johnson | Macroaxis Story |
On 19 of January the company is traded for 87.68. PTC has historical hype elasticity of 0.23. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.13. The entity is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 87.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on PTC stock price is about 287.5%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.26% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on PTC is about 519.1% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 87.81. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. What is PTC Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Depending on normal probability distribution, the odds of PTC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 14.89%. The PTC probability density function shows the probability of PTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Considering 30-days investment horizon, PTC has beta of 0.1671 . This implies as returns on market go up, PTC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding PTC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. PTC is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik
On a scale of 0 to 100 PTC holds performance score of 4. The organization owns Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.1671 which implies as returns on market increase, PTC returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding PTC will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect PTC existing price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity price patterns. The philosophy in forecasting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining PTC technical indicators you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.2215% will be sustainable into the future. Please employ PTC Treynor Ratio, and the relationship between Standard Deviation and Downside Variance to make a quick decision on weather PTC current price history will revert. The successful prediction of PTC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PTC Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PTC based on PTC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to PTC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PTC's related companies.
A focus of PTC technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of PTC trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Use Technical Analysis to project PTC expected Price
PTC technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
PTC Gross Profit
PTC Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing PTC previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show PTC Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check PTC's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Detailed Perspective On PTC
This firm currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with total capitalization of 10.41B. The latest bullish price patterns experienced by current PTC shareholders may encourage investors to take a closer look at the company as it closed today at a share price of 87.65 on 1580136.000 in trading volume. The company directors and management have been very successful with rebalancing the company components at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in December. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 2.9904. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in December 2018 as well as with PTC unsystematic, company specific events. PTC is selling for under 87.68. Opened at 87.68. PTC Tax Assets is decreasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of PTC Tax Assets was 73,513,023. PTC Shareholders Equity is increasing over the last 5 years. Additionally, PTC Total Assets is increasing over the last 5 years. The current value of PTC Total Assets is 674,959,000. All in all, we believe that at this point PTC is overvalued with very small odds of financial distress within the next 2 years. Our prevailing 'Buy/Hold/Sell' recommendation on the company is Sell.
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