A growth case for Safety Insurance

The company current daily volatility is 1.37 percent, with beta of 0.61 and alpha of 0.1 over Russell 2000 . We consider Safety Insurance very steady. Safety Insurance owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0663 which indicates the firm had 0.0663% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards measuring volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Safety Insurance Group which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the company. Please validate Safety Insurance Semi Deviation of 1.23, Coefficient Of Variation of 1284.09 and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1149 to confirm if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.0908%.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Ellen Johnson

Safety Insurance currently holds 36.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.6 indicating the firm may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. This firm dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. Safety Insurance one year expected dividend income is about $1.6 per share. Let me now analyze Safety Insurance Number of Shares Shorted. Based on recorded statements Safety Insurance Group has 207.97 K of outstending shares currently sold short by investors. This is 96.39% lower than that of the Financial Services sector, and 91.86% lower than that of Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, The Number of Shares Shorted for all stocks is 95.58% higher than Safety Insurance.
Safety Insurance financial leverage ratio helps determine the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures the total debt position of Safety Insurance, including all of Safety Insurance's outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Safety Insurance assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Safety Insurance debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business is and if it is worth investing in it. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Understanding Safety Total Liabilities

Safety Insurance liabilities are broken down into two parts on the balance sheet. These are short-term (or current) obligations and long-term debt. Safety Insurance has to fulfill its short-term liabilities in this reporting year and should be no more than 12 months old. Long-term debt, on the other hand, is anything beyond the 12-month payment timeframe. Common short-term liabilities found on Safety Insurance balance sheet include debt obligations and money owed to different Safety Insurance vendors, workers, and loan providers. Below is the chart of Safety short long-term liabilities accounts currently reported on its balance sheet.
You can use Safety Insurance Group financial leverage analysis tool to get a better grip on understanding its financial position

How important is Safety Insurance's Liquidity

Safety Insurance financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Safety Insurance Group ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Safety Insurance financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Safety Insurance's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Safety Insurance's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Safety Insurance's total debt and its cash.

What is driving Safety Insurance Investor Appetite?

The current investor indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Safety Insurance has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 99.73 and as high as 101.03 per share. The company management did not add any value to Safety Insurance investors in September. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Safety Insurance to hedge your portfolio against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.3687. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Safety Insurance preserves 102.56 m of net income. Safety Insurance is selling for under 100.93. That is 1.15% increase. Opened at 100.93. Safety Insurance Cash and Equivalents Turnover is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of Safety Insurance Cash and Equivalents Turnover was 18.59. Further, Safety Insurance Net Income Per Employee is comparatively stable at the moment.
Cost of RevenueConsolidated Income
 2008 0.00  0.00 
 2009 0.00  0.00 
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 
In closing, we belive that Safety Insurance is currently overvalued with very small probability of bankruptcy in the next two years. Our up-to-date 'Buy/Hold/Sell' recommendation on the firm is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Safety Insurance Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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