Wintrust Financial Story

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WTFC -- USA Stock  

 Earnings Call  This Week

Macroaxis News
  
By Ellen Johnson
In this post I will go over Wintrust Financial. I will address the reasons why this entity was insulated from the current market uncertainty. What is Wintrust Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Depending on normal probability distribution, the odds of Wintrust Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.19%. The Wintrust Financial Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Wintrust Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Wintrust Financial Corporation has beta of -0.041 . This means as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Wintrust Financial are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Wintrust Financial Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Wintrust Financial is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
Analysis of WTFC Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial has performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains market beta of -0.041 which attests that as returns on market increase, returns on owning Wintrust Financial are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, Wintrust Financial is likely to outperform the market. Although it is extremely important to respect Wintrust Financial historical price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price history. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining Wintrust Financial technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0479% will be sustainable into the future. Wintrust Financial right now maintains a risk of 1.9657%. Please check out Wintrust Financial Variance, Maximum Drawdown as well as the relationship between Maximum Drawdown and Semi Variance to decide if Wintrust Financial will be following its historical returns.


Wintrust Financial currently holds 1.61B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.74 indicating the stock may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The current investor indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Wintrust Financial may raise some interest from investors as it closed today at a share price of 73.08 on 213196.000 in trading volume. The company executives did not add any value to Wintrust Financial Corporation investors in April. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Wintrust Financial to hedge your portfolio against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.9657. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Wintrust Financial makes 1.61b total debt. Wintrust Financial is selling for under 74.62. That is 3.29 percent up. Day Low was 73.08. Wintrust Financial Share Based Compensation is somewhat stable at the moment.

Revenue Per EmployeeNet Income Per Employee
 2013 0.00  0.00 
 2014 0.00  0.00 
 2015 0.00  0.00 
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 

To conclude, our concluding buy-sell advice on the company is Cautious Hold. Wintrust Financial is currently overvalued with below average chance of distress for the next two years.

Related Technical Indicators

Mean
Deviation
Jensen
Alpha
Sortino
Ratio
Treynor
Ratio
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Shortfall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
 0.66  0.03  0.02  0.15  0.81  0.0264 (0.73)  1.24 (1.19)  3.97 
 1.24 (0.01) (0.07)  0.03  1.47 (0.07) (1.29)  2.58 (2.42)  6.64 
 1.15  0.21  0.07  1.93  1.30  0.07 (1.24)  2.91 (2.17)  7.71 
 0.74  0.08  0.05  0.21  0.76  0.0485 (0.81)  1.84 (1.09)  5.35 
 2.01  0.25  0.03 (0.48)  2.69  0.0347 (1.96)  4.50 (4.26)  11.08 
 1.39 (0.09)  0.00 (0.04)  0.00 (0.07)  0.00  2.70 (3.06)  8.76 
 0.37  0.05 (0.11) (0.04)  0.63 (0.15) (0.45)  0.80 (0.79)  3.88 
 0.62 (0.04) (0.09)  0.05  0.74 (0.09) (0.68)  0.98 (1.17)  3.56 
 0.78  0.09  0.00  0.56  1.16 (0.0014) (1.95)  2.58 (3.80)  8.86 
 4.45 (0.15)  0.01  0.07  6.20  0.0166 (5.47)  11.99 (13.02)  30.41 

Acquisition by Zed Francis of 493 shares of Wintrust Financial subject to Rule 16b-3

Wintrust Financial Corporation insider trading alert for grant of common stock by Zed Francis, the corporate stakeholder, on January 10, 2020. This event was filed by Wintrust Financial Corp with SEC on 2016-10-03. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson
   Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered as solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Wintrust Financial Corporation. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Story Momentum

This media report from Macroaxis distributed on May 16, 2019 was a factor to the next trading day price decrease.The trading price change against the next closing price was 1.03% . The trading price change when the story was published against the current closing price is 1.29% .

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Today post will go over Wintrust Financial. I will look into why albeit cyclical Wintrust Financial disturbance, the long term basic indicators of the company are still strong. Wintrust Financial current chance of financial distress is under 47.0 percent. Will the stock executives continue to add value? We found thirty-two available indicators for Wintrust Financial which can be compared to its rivals. To make sure the equity is not overpriced, please check out all Wintrust Financial fundamentals including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Retained Earnings, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Number of Employees . Given that Wintrust Financial has Number of Shares Shorted of 739.98 K, we strongly advise you confirm Wintrust Financial prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself down the road. Use Wintrust Financial to protect your portfolios against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Wintrust Financial to be traded at $65.35 in 30 days.
over three months ago at MacroaxisInsider 
Wintrust Financial exotic insider transaction detected
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Wintrust Financial is currently under evaluation in profit margin category among related companies. Profit Margin measures overall efficiency of a company and shows its ability to withstand competition as well as defend against adverse conditions such as rising costs, falling prices, decline in sales or management distress. Profit margin tells investors how well the company executes on its overall pricing strategies as well as how effective the company in controlling its costs.
See also Wintrust Financial Hype Analysis, Wintrust Financial Correlation and Wintrust Financial Performance. Please also try Piotroski F Score module to get piotroski f score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
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