Air Enterprise Value vs Free Cash Flow Analysis

AL Stock  USD 51.40  0.39  0.76%   
Air Lease financial indicator trend analysis is way more than just evaluating Air Lease prevailing accounting drivers to predict future trends. We encourage investors to analyze account correlations over time for multiple indicators to determine whether Air Lease is a good investment. Please check the relationship between Air Lease Enterprise Value and its Free Cash Flow accounts. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.

Enterprise Value vs Free Cash Flow

Enterprise Value vs Free Cash Flow Correlation Analysis

The overlapping area represents the amount of trend that can be explained by analyzing historical patterns of Air Lease Enterprise Value account and Free Cash Flow. At this time, the significance of the direction appears to have significant contrarian relationship.
The correlation between Air Lease's Enterprise Value and Free Cash Flow is -0.22. Overlapping area represents the amount of variation of Enterprise Value that can explain the historical movement of Free Cash Flow in the same time period over historical financial statements of Air Lease, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical values of Air Lease's Enterprise Value and Free Cash Flow is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these accounts tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which Enterprise Value of Air Lease are associated (or correlated) with its Free Cash Flow. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when Free Cash Flow has no effect on the direction of Enterprise Value i.e., Air Lease's Enterprise Value and Free Cash Flow go up and down completely randomly.

Correlation Coefficient

-0.22
Relationship DirectionNegative 
Relationship StrengthInsignificant

Enterprise Value

Enterprise Value (or EV) is usually referred to as Air Lease theoretical takeover price. In the event of an acquisition, an acquirer would have to take on Air Lease debt, but would also pocket its cash. Enterprise Value is more accurate representation of Air Lease value than its market capitalization because it takes into account all of Air Lease existing debt. A measure of a company's total value, often used as a more comprehensive alternative to equity market capitalization that includes the market capitalization, plus total debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents.

Free Cash Flow

The amount of cash a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations and maintain its capital assets.
Most indicators from Air Lease's fundamental ratios are interrelated and interconnected. However, analyzing fundamental ratios indicators one by one will only give a small insight into Air Lease current financial condition. On the other hand, looking into the entire matrix of fundamental ratios indicators, and analyzing their relationships over time can provide a more complete picture of the company financial strength now and in the future. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.At this time, Air Lease's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is quite stable compared to the past year. Enterprise Value Multiple is expected to rise to 15.06 this year, although the value of Tax Provision will most likely fall to about 71.8 M.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Gross Profit743.4M858.4M961.3M670.7M
Total Revenue2.1B2.3B2.7B1.6B

Air Lease fundamental ratios Correlations

1.0-0.740.810.990.981.00.951.00.920.770.591.00.780.441.00.590.820.59-0.641.00.310.931.00.990.55
1.0-0.750.80.990.981.00.961.00.920.770.611.00.780.441.00.610.810.6-0.641.00.290.931.00.980.57
-0.74-0.75-0.88-0.72-0.69-0.73-0.6-0.74-0.81-0.89-0.52-0.74-0.910.06-0.74-0.52-0.63-0.390.4-0.74-0.58-0.75-0.75-0.79-0.5
0.810.8-0.880.80.780.810.740.810.931.00.370.810.980.090.80.370.740.47-0.570.80.760.780.810.810.33
0.990.99-0.720.80.960.990.940.990.930.770.610.990.780.490.990.610.820.57-0.60.990.320.940.990.980.57
0.980.98-0.690.780.960.990.970.980.890.740.50.980.730.460.980.50.810.62-0.710.980.290.890.980.960.45
1.01.0-0.730.810.990.990.961.00.920.770.561.00.770.451.00.560.830.61-0.651.00.310.931.00.980.52
0.950.96-0.60.740.940.970.960.960.880.690.510.960.670.550.960.510.820.7-0.730.960.220.860.960.90.46
1.01.0-0.740.810.990.981.00.960.920.770.561.00.780.421.00.560.820.61-0.641.00.310.931.00.980.52
0.920.92-0.810.930.930.890.920.880.920.910.580.920.90.410.920.580.760.51-0.650.920.510.860.920.90.54
0.770.77-0.891.00.770.740.770.690.770.910.340.780.990.040.770.340.720.43-0.530.770.790.760.770.790.31
0.590.61-0.520.370.610.50.560.510.560.580.340.560.430.520.611.00.350.2-0.290.59-0.060.530.590.561.0
1.01.0-0.740.810.990.981.00.961.00.920.780.560.780.431.00.560.830.6-0.641.00.320.931.00.990.52
0.780.78-0.910.980.780.730.770.670.780.90.990.430.780.020.770.430.70.39-0.480.780.770.780.780.80.4
0.440.440.060.090.490.460.450.550.420.410.040.520.430.020.440.520.310.32-0.40.44-0.280.340.430.340.5
1.01.0-0.740.80.990.981.00.961.00.920.770.611.00.770.440.610.810.6-0.641.00.290.931.00.980.56
0.590.61-0.520.370.610.50.560.510.560.580.341.00.560.430.520.610.350.2-0.290.59-0.060.530.590.561.0
0.820.81-0.630.740.820.810.830.820.820.760.720.350.830.70.310.810.350.86-0.370.820.450.890.820.780.33
0.590.6-0.390.470.570.620.610.70.610.510.430.20.60.390.320.60.20.86-0.330.60.160.690.60.520.18
-0.64-0.640.4-0.57-0.6-0.71-0.65-0.73-0.64-0.65-0.53-0.29-0.64-0.48-0.4-0.64-0.29-0.37-0.33-0.65-0.12-0.43-0.65-0.58-0.22
1.01.0-0.740.80.990.981.00.961.00.920.770.591.00.780.441.00.590.820.6-0.650.30.931.00.980.55
0.310.29-0.580.760.320.290.310.220.310.510.79-0.060.320.77-0.280.29-0.060.450.16-0.120.30.350.310.34-0.07
0.930.93-0.750.780.940.890.930.860.930.860.760.530.930.780.340.930.530.890.69-0.430.930.350.930.940.5
1.01.0-0.750.810.990.981.00.961.00.920.770.591.00.780.431.00.590.820.6-0.651.00.310.930.980.54
0.990.98-0.790.810.980.960.980.90.980.90.790.560.990.80.340.980.560.780.52-0.580.980.340.940.980.52
0.550.57-0.50.330.570.450.520.460.520.540.311.00.520.40.50.561.00.330.18-0.220.55-0.070.50.540.52
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Air Lease Account Relationship Matchups

Air Lease fundamental ratios Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Total Assets21.7B25.2B27.0B28.4B30.5B17.9B
Short Long Term Debt Total13.6B16.5B17.0B18.6B19.2B11.2B
Other Current Liab(20M)(1.9B)(2.1B)(2.6B)(3.2B)(3.0B)
Total Current Liabilities660.2M635.4M750.6M844.6M1.3B1.4B
Total Stockholder Equity5.6B6.1B7.0B6.6B7.2B4.6B
Other Liab2.0B2.1B2.3B2.4B2.8B1.5B
Property Plant And Equipment Net20.3B22.2B24.4B25.9B27.4B16.5B
Current Deferred Revenue143.7M142.9M138.8M147.7M143.9M105.7M
Net Debt13.3B14.8B15.9B17.9B18.7B10.7B
Retained Earnings2.8B3.3B3.6B3.4B3.9B4.1B
Accounts Payable516.5M492.5M611.8M696.9M1.2B1.2B
Cash317.5M1.7B1.1B766.4M460.9M532.9M
Non Current Assets Total21.4B23.5B25.9B27.6B30.0B17.3B
Non Currrent Assets Other1.1B1.2B1.4B1.7B2.5B2.6B
Other Assets21.1B23.5B25.9B13.6M15.6M14.9M
Long Term Debt13.6B16.5B17.0B18.6B19.2B11.2B
Cash And Short Term Investments317.5M1.7B1.1B766.4M460.9M532.9M
Common Stock Total Equity1.1M1.1M1.1M1.1M1.3M1.1M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding113.1M114.0M114.4M111.6M111.4M115.3M
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity21.7B25.2B27.0B28.4B30.5B17.9B
Non Current Liabilities Total15.4B18.5B19.2B20.9B22.0B12.8B
Other Current Assets270.2M23.6M21.8M13.6M608.7M639.2M
Other Stockholder Equity2.8B2.8B3.4B3.3B3.3B2.7B
Total Liab16.1B19.1B20.0B21.8B23.3B13.3B
Property Plant And Equipment Gross18.7B22.2B28.6B30.8B33.0B16.8B
Total Current Assets338.1M1.8B1.1B780.0M464.5M572.3M
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income(1.4M)325K(1.8M)2.4M1.8M1.9M
Short Term Debt20M1.9B2.1B2.6B3.2B3.4B
Common Stock1.1M1.1M1.1M1.1M1.1M1.1M
Property Plant Equipment1.6B1.8B24.4B25.9B29.8B31.3B
Retained Earnings Total Equity2.8B3.3B3.6B3.4B3.9B4.1B
Deferred Long Term Liab749.5M916.4M1.0B970.8M1.1B600.4M
Net Tangible Assets5.6B6.1B7.0B6.6B7.6B4.8B
Long Term Debt Total13.6B16.5B17.0B18.6B21.4B12.0B
Capital Surpluse2.8B2.8B3.4B3.3B3.7B2.8B
Long Term Investments56.4M52.6M73.2M64.7M69.4M49.3M
Cash And Equivalents317.5M1.7B1.1B766.4M881.4M749.8M

Air Lease Investors Sentiment

The influence of Air Lease's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Air. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Air Lease's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Air. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Air can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Air Lease. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Air Lease's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Air Lease's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Air Lease's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Air Lease.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Air Lease in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Air Lease's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Air Lease options trading.

Pair Trading with Air Lease

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Air Lease position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Air Lease will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Air Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Air Lease could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Air Lease when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Air Lease - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Air Lease to buy it.
The correlation of Air Lease is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Air Lease moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Air Lease moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Air Lease can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Air Lease is a strong investment it is important to analyze Air Lease's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Air Lease's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Air Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Air Lease. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Air Stock please use our How to buy in Air Stock guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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Is Air Lease's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Lease. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Air Lease listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.556
Dividend Share
0.81
Earnings Share
5.14
Revenue Per Share
24.188
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.191
The market value of Air Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Air that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Air Lease's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Air Lease's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Air Lease's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Air Lease's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Air Lease's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air Lease is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air Lease's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.