Applied Industrial Stock Forecast - Daily Balance Of Power
| AIT Stock | USD 183.99 0.41 0.22% |
Applied Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Applied Industrial stock prices and determine the direction of Applied Industrial Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Applied Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Applied Industrial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Applied Industrial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Applied Industrial fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Industrial to cross-verify your projections. Applied |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Applied Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Applied Industrial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Applied Industrial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Applied Industrial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Applied Industrial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Applied Industrial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Applied Industrial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Applied. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Applied Industrial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Applied Industrial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Applied Industrial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Balance of Power indicator (or BOP) measures the strength of Applied Industrial Technologies market sensitivity to bulls and bears. It estimates the ability of Applied Industrial buyers and sellers to push price to an extreme high or extreme low level. As a result, by monitoring Applied Industrial Balance of Power indicator one can determine a trend of the price direction.| Check Applied Industrial Volatility | Backtest Applied Industrial | Information Ratio |
Balance of Power indicator was created by Igor Livshin to predict asset short term price movements or warning signals. If Balance of Power indicator is trended towards the high of its range it will signify that the bulls are in control. On the other hand when the BOP indicator is moving towards the lows of its range it signifies that the bears are in control. If the indicator move from a high positive range to a lower positive range it signifies that the buying pressure is decreasing. Conversely, if the indicator move from a low negative range to a higher negative range it signifies that the selling pressure is decreasing.
| Compare Applied Industrial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Applied Industrial
For every potential investor in Applied, whether a beginner or expert, Applied Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Applied Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Applied. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Applied Industrial's price trends.Applied Industrial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Applied Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Applied Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Applied Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Applied Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Applied Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Applied Industrial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Applied Industrial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Applied Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Applied Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Applied Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Applied Industrial Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4084.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.12) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 185.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 184.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.66) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.41) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 94.42 |
Applied Industrial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Applied Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Applied Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting applied stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Applied Industrial Investors Sentiment
The influence of Applied Industrial's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Applied. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Applied Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Applied. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Applied can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Applied Industrial Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Applied Industrial's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Applied Industrial's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Applied Industrial's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Applied Industrial.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Applied Industrial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Applied Industrial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Applied Industrial options trading.
Pair Trading with Applied Industrial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Applied Industrial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Applied Industrial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Applied Stock
| 0.68 | DSGR | Distribution Solutions Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | DXPE | DXP Enterprises Financial Report 9th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.84 | FAST | Fastenal Financial Report 11th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | FERG | Ferguson Plc Financial Report 4th of June 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Applied Stock
| 0.62 | BA | Boeing Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | TITN | Titan Machinery Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | AP | Ampco Pittsburgh | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Applied Industrial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Applied Industrial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Applied Industrial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Applied Industrial Technologies to buy it.
The correlation of Applied Industrial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Applied Industrial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Applied Industrial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Applied Industrial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Applied Industrial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Applied Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Applied Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Applied Industrial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied Industrial. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.132 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 9.53 | Revenue Per Share 115.377 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
The market value of Applied Industrial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.