Altura Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| ALTAF Stock | USD 0 0.0001 5.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Altura Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. Altura Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Altura Mining stock prices and determine the direction of Altura Mining Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Altura Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altura Mining to cross-verify your projections. Altura |
Most investors in Altura Mining cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Altura Mining's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Altura Mining's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Altura Mining polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Altura Mining Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Altura Mining Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Altura Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000139, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Altura Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Altura Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Altura Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Altura Mining | Altura Mining Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Altura Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Altura Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Altura Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000021 and 36.21, respectively. We have considered Altura Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Altura Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Altura Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.6236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0468 |
Predictive Modules for Altura Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altura Mining Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altura Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Altura Mining
For every potential investor in Altura, whether a beginner or expert, Altura Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Altura Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Altura. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Altura Mining's price trends.Altura Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Altura Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Altura Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Altura Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Altura Mining Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Altura Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Altura Mining's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Altura Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Altura Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Altura Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Altura Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Altura Mining Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0021 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0021 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.07 |
Altura Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Altura Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Altura Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting altura pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 14.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 35.62 | |||
| Variance | 1268.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 870.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 161.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (62.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Altura Mining
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Altura Mining position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Altura Mining will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Altura Mining could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Altura Mining when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Altura Mining - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Altura Mining Limited to buy it.
The correlation of Altura Mining is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Altura Mining moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Altura Mining Limited moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Altura Mining can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Altura Mining to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Altura Mining Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Altura Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Altura Pink Sheet analysis
When running Altura Mining's price analysis, check to measure Altura Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altura Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Altura Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altura Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altura Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altura Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios |