Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CQP Stock | USD 48.25 0.28 0.58% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cheniere Energy Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 47.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.22. Cheniere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cheniere Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Cheniere Energy Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cheniere Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Cheniere Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cheniere Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cheniere Energy fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections. Cheniere |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Cheniere Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cheniere Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cheniere Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cheniere Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cheniere Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cheniere Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cheniere Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cheniere. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Cheniere Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Cheniere Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Cheniere Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Cheniere Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Cheniere Energy Partners as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Cheniere Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Cheniere Energy Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 47.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheniere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheniere Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cheniere Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cheniere Energy | Cheniere Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cheniere Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cheniere Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheniere Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.23 and 49.15, respectively. We have considered Cheniere Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheniere Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheniere Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.094 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9228 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0186 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.2153 |
Predictive Modules for Cheniere Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheniere Energy Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cheniere Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Cheniere Energy
For every potential investor in Cheniere, whether a beginner or expert, Cheniere Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheniere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheniere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheniere Energy's price trends.Cheniere Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheniere Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheniere Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheniere Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cheniere Energy Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cheniere Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cheniere Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cheniere Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheniere Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheniere Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheniere Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cheniere Energy Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cheniere Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cheniere Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheniere Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheniere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Cheniere Energy Investors Sentiment
The influence of Cheniere Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Cheniere. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Cheniere Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheniere. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheniere can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cheniere Energy Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cheniere Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Cheniere Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Cheniere Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Cheniere Energy.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Cheniere Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Cheniere Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Cheniere Energy options trading.
Pair Trading with Cheniere Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cheniere Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cheniere Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Cheniere Stock
| 0.69 | TK | Teekay | PairCorr |
Moving against Cheniere Stock
| 0.71 | IMPPP | Imperial Petroleum Potential Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | VNOM | Viper Energy Ut Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | ETRN | Equitrans Midstream Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | DTM | DT Midstream Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | AM | Antero Midstream Partners Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cheniere Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cheniere Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cheniere Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cheniere Energy Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Cheniere Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cheniere Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cheniere Energy Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cheniere Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheniere Energy to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Cheniere Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheniere Energy guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Cheniere Stock analysis
When running Cheniere Energy's price analysis, check to measure Cheniere Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cheniere Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Cheniere Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cheniere Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cheniere Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cheniere Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cheniere Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheniere Energy. If investors know Cheniere will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheniere Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 4.125 | Earnings Share 6.95 | Revenue Per Share 19.967 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.43) |
The market value of Cheniere Energy Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheniere that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheniere Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheniere Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheniere Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheniere Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheniere Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheniere Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheniere Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.