Dominion Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

D Stock  USD 48.52  1.84  3.94%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dominion Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 48.44 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.62  and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.68. Dominion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dominion Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Dominion Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dominion Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Dominion Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dominion Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dominion Energy fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dominion Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Dominion Stock refer to our How to Trade Dominion Stock guide.
  
At present, Dominion Energy's Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.7 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 577.4 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Dominion Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dominion Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dominion Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dominion Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dominion Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dominion Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dominion Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dominion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Dominion Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Dominion Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Dominion Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Dominion Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Dominion Energy as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Dominion Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dominion Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 48.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dominion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dominion Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dominion Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dominion EnergyDominion Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dominion Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dominion Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dominion Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.54 and 50.33, respectively. We have considered Dominion Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.52
48.44
Expected Value
50.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dominion Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dominion Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5399
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6238
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors38.6768
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Dominion Energy historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Dominion Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominion Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dominion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.5648.4450.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.3248.2050.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
46.1947.8249.44
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
44.7349.1554.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dominion Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dominion Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dominion Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dominion Energy.

Other Forecasting Options for Dominion Energy

For every potential investor in Dominion, whether a beginner or expert, Dominion Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dominion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dominion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dominion Energy's price trends.

Dominion Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dominion Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dominion Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dominion Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dominion Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dominion Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dominion Energy's current price.

Dominion Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dominion Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dominion Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dominion Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dominion Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dominion Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dominion Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dominion Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dominion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Dominion Energy

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dominion Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dominion Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dominion Stock

  0.75ES Eversource Energy Financial Report 1st of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.71FE FirstEnergy Financial Report 25th of April 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dominion Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dominion Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dominion Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dominion Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Dominion Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dominion Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dominion Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dominion Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Dominion Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dominion Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dominion Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dominion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dominion Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Dominion Stock refer to our How to Trade Dominion Stock guide.
Note that the Dominion Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dominion Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Dominion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Dominion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dominion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Dominion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dominion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dominion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dominion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dominion Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dominion Energy. If investors know Dominion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dominion Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.21)
Dividend Share
2.67
Earnings Share
2.48
Revenue Per Share
17.208
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Dominion Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dominion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dominion Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dominion Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dominion Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dominion Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dominion Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dominion Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dominion Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.