Estee Lauder Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| EL Stock | USD 141.85 3.81 2.76% |
Estee Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Estee Lauder stock prices and determine the direction of Estee Lauder Companies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Estee Lauder's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Estee Lauder's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Estee Lauder's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Estee Lauder fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Estee Lauder to cross-verify your projections. Estee |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Estee Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Estee Lauder's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Estee Lauder's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Estee Lauder stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Estee Lauder's open interest, investors have to compare it to Estee Lauder's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Estee Lauder is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Estee. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Estee Lauder cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Estee Lauder's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Estee Lauder's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Estee Lauder is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Estee Lauder Companies to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Estee Lauder trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Check Estee Lauder Volatility | Backtest Estee Lauder | Information Ratio |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Estee Lauder to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Estee Lauder
For every potential investor in Estee, whether a beginner or expert, Estee Lauder's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Estee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Estee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Estee Lauder's price trends.Estee Lauder Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Estee Lauder stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Estee Lauder could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Estee Lauder by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Estee Lauder Companies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Estee Lauder's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Estee Lauder's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Estee Lauder Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Estee Lauder stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Estee Lauder shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Estee Lauder stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Estee Lauder Companies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 141.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 141.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.91 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.81 |
Estee Lauder Risk Indicators
The analysis of Estee Lauder's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Estee Lauder's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting estee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Estee Lauder Investors Sentiment
The influence of Estee Lauder's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Estee. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Estee Lauder's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Estee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Estee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Estee Lauder Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Estee Lauder's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Estee Lauder's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Estee Lauder's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Estee Lauder.
Estee Lauder Implied Volatility | 110.54 |
Estee Lauder's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Estee Lauder Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Estee Lauder's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Estee Lauder stock will not fluctuate a lot when Estee Lauder's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Estee Lauder in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Estee Lauder's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Estee Lauder options trading.
Pair Trading with Estee Lauder
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Estee Lauder position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Estee Lauder will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Estee Stock
| 0.78 | CL | Colgate Palmolive Report 26th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | PG | Procter Gamble Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | UL | Unilever PLC ADR Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Estee Stock
| 0.67 | NUS | Nu Skin Enterprises Financial Report 1st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | YSG | Yatsen Holding Financial Report 21st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | NWL | Newell Brands Financial Report 26th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | ACU | Acme United Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Estee Lauder could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Estee Lauder when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Estee Lauder - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Estee Lauder Companies to buy it.
The correlation of Estee Lauder is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Estee Lauder moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Estee Lauder Companies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Estee Lauder can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Estee Lauder to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Estee Stock analysis
When running Estee Lauder's price analysis, check to measure Estee Lauder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Estee Lauder is operating at the current time. Most of Estee Lauder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Estee Lauder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Estee Lauder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Estee Lauder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Estee Lauder's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Estee Lauder. If investors know Estee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Estee Lauder listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 2.64 | Earnings Share 1.29 | Revenue Per Share 42.303 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Estee Lauder Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Estee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Estee Lauder's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Estee Lauder's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Estee Lauder's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Estee Lauder's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Estee Lauder's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Estee Lauder is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Estee Lauder's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.