FuelCell Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
FCELB Stock | USD 391.00 4.00 1.01% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of FuelCell Energy Pref on the next trading day is expected to be 386.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 459.42. FuelCell Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FuelCell Energy stock prices and determine the direction of FuelCell Energy Pref's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FuelCell Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FuelCell Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade FuelCell Pink Sheet refer to our How to Trade FuelCell Pink Sheet guide.FuelCell |
Most investors in FuelCell Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the FuelCell Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets FuelCell Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
FuelCell Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for FuelCell Energy Pref as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. FuelCell Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of FuelCell Energy Pref on the next trading day is expected to be 386.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.53, mean absolute percentage error of 73.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 459.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FuelCell Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FuelCell Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FuelCell Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
Backtest FuelCell Energy | FuelCell Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FuelCell Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FuelCell Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FuelCell Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 384.78 and 388.00, respectively. We have considered FuelCell Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FuelCell Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FuelCell Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4076 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.5314 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 459.4152 |
Predictive Modules for FuelCell Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FuelCell Energy Pref. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FuelCell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for FuelCell Energy
For every potential investor in FuelCell, whether a beginner or expert, FuelCell Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FuelCell Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FuelCell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FuelCell Energy's price trends.FuelCell Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FuelCell Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FuelCell Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FuelCell Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
FuelCell Energy Pref Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FuelCell Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FuelCell Energy's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
FuelCell Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FuelCell Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FuelCell Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FuelCell Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify FuelCell Energy Pref entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution | 0.0102 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 393.01 | |||
Day Typical Price | 392.34 | |||
Market Facilitation Index | 4.01 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (4.00) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (4.00) |
FuelCell Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of FuelCell Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FuelCell Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuelcell pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
Variance | 2.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FuelCell Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade FuelCell Pink Sheet refer to our How to Trade FuelCell Pink Sheet guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for FuelCell Pink Sheet analysis
When running FuelCell Energy's price analysis, check to measure FuelCell Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FuelCell Energy is operating at the current time. Most of FuelCell Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FuelCell Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FuelCell Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FuelCell Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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