Fossil Stock Forecast - Skewness
| FOSL Stock | USD 0.83 0.07 7.78% |
Fossil Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fossil stock prices and determine the direction of Fossil Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fossil's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Fossil's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fossil's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fossil fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fossil to cross-verify your projections. Fossil |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Fossil Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fossil's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fossil's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fossil stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fossil's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fossil's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fossil is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fossil. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Fossil cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fossil's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fossil's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Previous Skewness | Skewness | Trend |
| 0 | 0 |
| Check Fossil Volatility | Backtest Fossil | Information Ratio |
Fossil Trading Date Momentum
| On April 15 2024 Fossil Group was traded for 0.83 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 0.95 and the lowest listed price was 0.82 . The trading volume for the day was 477.4 K. The trading history from April 15, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 9.64% . |
| Compare Fossil to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Fossil
For every potential investor in Fossil, whether a beginner or expert, Fossil's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fossil Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fossil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fossil's price trends.Fossil Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fossil stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fossil could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fossil by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fossil Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fossil's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fossil's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fossil Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fossil stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fossil shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fossil stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fossil Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 65329.24 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.54) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.03 |
Fossil Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fossil's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fossil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fossil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Variance | 16.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fossil in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fossil's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fossil options trading.
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Complementary Tools for Fossil Stock analysis
When running Fossil's price analysis, check to measure Fossil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fossil is operating at the current time. Most of Fossil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fossil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fossil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fossil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fossil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (3.00) | Revenue Per Share 27.014 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets (0.05) |
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.