LL Flooring Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LL Stock  USD 1.52  0.06  3.80%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of LL Flooring Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.07  and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.48. LL Flooring Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LL Flooring stock prices and determine the direction of LL Flooring Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LL Flooring's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although LL Flooring's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of LL Flooring's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of LL Flooring fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LL Flooring to cross-verify your projections.
  
At this time, LL Flooring's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 13.04 this year, although the value of Fixed Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 3.56. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 28.9 M this year, although the value of Net Loss is projected to rise to (10.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 LL Flooring Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LL Flooring's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LL Flooring's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LL Flooring stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LL Flooring's open interest, investors have to compare it to LL Flooring's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LL Flooring is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LL Flooring. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in LL Flooring cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the LL Flooring's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets LL Flooring's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
LL Flooring polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for LL Flooring Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

LL Flooring Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of LL Flooring Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LL Flooring Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LL Flooring's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LL Flooring Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LL FlooringLL Flooring Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LL Flooring Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LL Flooring's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LL Flooring's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.58, respectively. We have considered LL Flooring's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.52
1.55
Expected Value
4.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LL Flooring stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LL Flooring stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4154
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0734
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4773
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the LL Flooring historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for LL Flooring

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LL Flooring Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LL Flooring's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.554.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.694.69
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.27-0.27-0.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LL Flooring. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LL Flooring's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LL Flooring's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LL Flooring Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for LL Flooring

For every potential investor in LL Flooring, whether a beginner or expert, LL Flooring's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LL Flooring Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LL Flooring. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LL Flooring's price trends.

LL Flooring Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LL Flooring stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LL Flooring could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LL Flooring by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LL Flooring Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LL Flooring's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LL Flooring's current price.

LL Flooring Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LL Flooring stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LL Flooring shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LL Flooring stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LL Flooring Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LL Flooring Risk Indicators

The analysis of LL Flooring's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LL Flooring's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ll flooring stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards LL Flooring in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, LL Flooring's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from LL Flooring options trading.

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When determining whether LL Flooring Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze LL Flooring's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LL Flooring's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LL Flooring Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LL Flooring to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for LL Flooring Stock analysis

When running LL Flooring's price analysis, check to measure LL Flooring's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LL Flooring is operating at the current time. Most of LL Flooring's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LL Flooring's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LL Flooring's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LL Flooring to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LL Flooring's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LL Flooring. If investors know LL Flooring will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LL Flooring listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
(3.59)
Revenue Per Share
31.408
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
The market value of LL Flooring Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LL Flooring that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LL Flooring's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LL Flooring's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LL Flooring's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LL Flooring's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LL Flooring's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LL Flooring is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LL Flooring's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.