3M Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MMM Stock  MXN 1,530  10.00  0.66%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of 3M Company on the next trading day is expected to be 1,420 with a mean absolute deviation of  49.42  and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,015. 3M Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 3M stock prices and determine the direction of 3M Company's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 3M's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 3M to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in 3M cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the 3M's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets 3M's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
3M polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for 3M Company as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

3M Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of April 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of 3M Company on the next trading day is expected to be 1,420 with a mean absolute deviation of 49.42, mean absolute percentage error of 4,036, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,015.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 3M Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 3M's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

3M Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest 3M3M Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

3M Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 3M's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 3M's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,417 and 1,423, respectively. We have considered 3M's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,530
1,420
Expected Value
1,423
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 3M stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 3M stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.4136
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation49.4208
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0302
SAESum of the absolute errors3014.6672
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the 3M historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for 3M

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 3M Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 3M's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5171,5201,523
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3351,3381,672
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,3711,6211,872
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 3M. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 3M's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 3M's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 3M Company.

Other Forecasting Options for 3M

For every potential investor in 3M, whether a beginner or expert, 3M's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 3M Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 3M. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 3M's price trends.

3M Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 3M stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 3M could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 3M by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

3M Company Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 3M's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 3M's current price.

3M Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 3M stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 3M shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 3M stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 3M Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

3M Risk Indicators

The analysis of 3M's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 3M's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 3m stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether 3M Company is a strong investment it is important to analyze 3M's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact 3M's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding 3M Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 3M to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running 3M's price analysis, check to measure 3M's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 3M is operating at the current time. Most of 3M's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 3M's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 3M's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 3M to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between 3M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 3M is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 3M's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.