Marvell Technology Stock Forecast - Bollinger Band
| MRVL Stock | USD 63.86 0.98 1.56% |
Marvell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Marvell Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Marvell Technology Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Marvell Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Marvell Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Marvell Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Marvell Technology fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marvell Technology to cross-verify your projections. Marvell |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-26 Marvell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Marvell Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Marvell Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Marvell Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Marvell Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Marvell Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Marvell Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Marvell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Marvell Technology cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Marvell Technology's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Marvell Technology's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Bollinger Bands are intervals drawn on Marvell Technology price chart at standard deviation levels above and below the corresponding moving average. This produces an effect of having the bands widen during periods of Marvell Technology Group higher volatility and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger Bands indicate the relative supply and demand for Marvell Technology. If Marvell Technology price moves close to the top of the interval then it indicates that there is strong demand for the asset, alternatively if Marvell Technology hugs the bottom of the trading range then it indicates that there is oversupply of the asset. The current lower band of Marvell Technology 90 days horizon is 45.54. The upper band for the period is currently at 82.61. Given the current price of 63.86, the overall demand for shares of Marvell Technology is decreasing. | Backtest Marvell Technology | Marvell Technology Valuation | Marvell Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Current demand trend
| Lower Band | Current Price | Upper Band | Demand Trend |
| 45.54 | 63.86 | 82.61 |
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| Timeline |
Min and Max band reversion trend
| Max Lower Band03/07/2024 | Current Price | Max Upper Band03/13/2024 | Reversion Trend |
| 54.94 | 63.86 | 100.18 |
Predictive Modules for Marvell Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marvell Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marvell Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Marvell Technology
For every potential investor in Marvell, whether a beginner or expert, Marvell Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marvell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marvell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marvell Technology's price trends.Marvell Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marvell Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marvell Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marvell Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marvell Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marvell Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marvell Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Marvell Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marvell Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marvell Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marvell Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marvell Technology Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Marvell Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Marvell Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marvell Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marvell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.15 | |||
| Variance | 9.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Marvell Technology Investors Sentiment
The influence of Marvell Technology's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Marvell. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Marvell Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marvell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marvell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marvell Technology Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Marvell Technology's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Marvell Technology's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Marvell Technology's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Marvell Technology.
Marvell Technology Implied Volatility | 63.34 |
Marvell Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marvell Technology Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marvell Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marvell Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marvell Technology's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Marvell Technology in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Marvell Technology's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Marvell Technology options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marvell Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Marvell Stock analysis
When running Marvell Technology's price analysis, check to measure Marvell Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marvell Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Marvell Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marvell Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marvell Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marvell Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marvell Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marvell Technology. If investors know Marvell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marvell Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share (1.08) | Revenue Per Share 6.395 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
The market value of Marvell Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marvell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marvell Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marvell Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marvell Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marvell Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marvell Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marvell Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marvell Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.