Origin Agritech Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| SEED Stock | USD 3.17 0.09 2.76% |
Origin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Origin Agritech stock prices and determine the direction of Origin Agritech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Origin Agritech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Origin Agritech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Origin Agritech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Origin Agritech fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Agritech to cross-verify your projections. Origin |
Most investors in Origin Agritech cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Origin Agritech's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Origin Agritech's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Origin Agritech is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Origin Agritech to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Origin Agritech trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 935.66 | 639.05 |
| Check Origin Agritech Volatility | Backtest Origin Agritech | Information Ratio |
Origin Agritech Trading Date Momentum
| On April 18 2024 Origin Agritech was traded for 3.17 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 3.28 and the lowest listed price was 3.10 . The trading volume for the day was 11.6 K. The trading history from April 18, 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 2.84% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
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Other Forecasting Options for Origin Agritech
For every potential investor in Origin, whether a beginner or expert, Origin Agritech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Origin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Origin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Origin Agritech's price trends.Origin Agritech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Origin Agritech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Origin Agritech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Origin Agritech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Origin Agritech Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Origin Agritech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Origin Agritech's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Origin Agritech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Origin Agritech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Origin Agritech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Origin Agritech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Origin Agritech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Origin Agritech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Origin Agritech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Origin Agritech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting origin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.88 | |||
| Variance | 97.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Origin Agritech in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Origin Agritech's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Origin Agritech options trading.
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When determining whether Origin Agritech is a strong investment it is important to analyze Origin Agritech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Origin Agritech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Origin Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Origin Agritech to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis
When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share 14.254 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.38 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (3.72) |
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.