Vivendi SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| VIVHYDelisted Stock | USD 10.57 0.12 1.12% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vivendi SA PK on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.85. Vivendi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Vivendi SA stock prices and determine the direction of Vivendi SA PK's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vivendi SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. Vivendi |
Most investors in Vivendi SA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Vivendi SA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Vivendi SA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Vivendi SA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Vivendi SA PK as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Vivendi SA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Vivendi SA PK on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vivendi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vivendi SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vivendi SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vivendi SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vivendi SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5644 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1451 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.8502 |
Predictive Modules for Vivendi SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivendi SA PK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vivendi SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
View Vivendi SA Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vivendi SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vivendi SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vivendi SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vivendi SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vivendi SA PK entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vivendi SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vivendi SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vivendi SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vivendi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8202 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6727 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. Note that the Vivendi SA PK information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vivendi SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Other Consideration for investing in Vivendi Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Vivendi SA PK check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vivendi SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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